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AI Earnings Predictions for Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+4.92%

$11.47

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+6.88%

$11.68

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+24.32%

$13.59

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $10.93 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +4.92% +6.88% +24.32% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +3.25% +7.26% +35.67% 100.0% +6.14%
Q4 2025 SELL -4.06% -7.76% -7.09% 100.0% -9.45%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 3, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+4.92%

$11.47

Act: +0.00%

5D

+6.88%

$11.68

20D

+24.32%

$13.59

Price: $10.93 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-330740

EX-99.1

2 aesi-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Atlas Energy Solutions Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results

Austin, TX – August 3, 2026 – Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (NYSE: AESI) (“Atlas” or the “Company”) today reported financial and operating results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Second Quarter 2026 Highlights

• Total revenue of $293.2 million, Net loss of $25.1 million and Adj. EBITDA of $49.5 million

• Net cash used in operating activities of $553 thousand and Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $34.9 million

• Set quarterly volume record for Dune Express and quarterly shipment record for Last Mile shipments of 6 million tons

• Completed construction of 26-megawatt ("MW") bridge facility for recently executed behind-the-meter ("BTM") 120-MW private power contract

Financial Summary

Three Months Ended

June 30, 2026

March 31, 2026

June 30, 2025

(unaudited, in thousands, except percentages)

Revenue

$

293,178

$

265,583

$

288,676

Net loss

$

(25,096

)

$

(47,264

)

$

(5,558

)

Net loss Margin

(9

%)

(18

%)

(2

%)

Adjusted EBITDA (1)

$

49,514

$

29,913

$

71,209

Adjusted EBITDA Margin (1)

17

%

11

%

25

%

Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities

$

(553

)

$

18,996

$

88,642

Adjusted Free Cash Flow (1)

$

34,892

$

5,289

$

49,620

Adjusted Free Cash Flow Margin (1)

12

%

2

%

17

%

(1) Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Adjusted Free Cash Flow, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow Margin are non-GAAP financials measures. See Non-GAAP Financial Measures for a discussion of these measures and a reconciliation of these measures to our most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.

John Turner, President & CEO, commented, "Power is where our growth is going, and we are building it contract-first. Our oilfield power division continues to scale and we expect 180 to 200 MWs deployed by the end of this year. In the second quarter we signed our first long-term behind-the-meter contract, for 120 MWs expected to come online at the end of the first quarter of 2027, and we put mobile power on that site immediately to keep the customer running through construction. That is the whole point. Data center customers want one partner to solve the entire power problem, not a generator supplier, and solving it starts on day one rather than the day the permanent plant is finished. Since signing the Global Framework Agreement with Caterpillar, the opportunities in front of us have grown in scale, duration and scope. We are in active negotiations now, and we will announce equipment placements and economics when contracts are signed, not before."

“Atlas’ status as the leading provider of sand and logistics in the West Texas market has positioned us to be selective about the work going forward we secure as the proppant market begins to recover. With the productive capacity of some of our competitors’ mines potentially impaired by lack of sustaining investment, we believe the sand market is currently close to balance and positioned for further tightening in 2027. Atlas is positioning itself to maximize its advantages both for itself and its key customers in a market where we believe supplier execution will be at a premium.”

1

Bud Brigham, Executive Chairman, said, “Our excitement and optimism in private power lie in the fact that we have the right equipment, the right strategy and, most importantly, the right people. I could not be more excited about the opportunities we are currently working on and sharing more information about those projects in the not-so-distant future when able.”

Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Second quarter 2026 total revenue increased $27.7 million, or 10.4% when compared to the first quarter of 2026, to $293.2 million. Product revenue decreased by $5.4 million, or 5.0% when compared to the first quarter of 2026, to $103.5 million. Second quarter 2026 proppant product sales volumes were 5.6 million tons. Service revenue increased $23.6 million, or 17.0% when compared to the first quarter of 2026, to $162.7 million. Second quarter 2026 rental revenue increased $9.5 million, or 54.3% when compared to the first quarter of 2026, to $27.0 million.

Second quarter 2026 cost of sales (excluding depreciation, depletion and accretion expense) (“cost of sales”) increased by $7.3 million, or 3.4% when compared to the first quarter of 2026, to $221.3 million. Cost of sales consisted of $66.1 million of proppant plant and logistics equipment operating costs, $1.4 million from power equipment costs, $140.7 million related to service costs, $8.8 million related to rental costs and $4.3 million in royalties.

Selling, general and administrative expenses for the second quarter of 2026 increased by $3.7 million when compared to the first quarter of 2026, to $39.4 million or 10.4%.

Net loss for the second quarter of 2026 was $25.1 million, and Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2026 was

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.25%

$18.33

Act: +8.28%

5D

+7.26%

$19.04

Act: +6.14%

20D

+35.67%

$24.08

Act: +1.63%

Price: $17.75 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-204216

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.25%

$18.33

Act: +8.28%

5D

+7.26%

$19.04

Act: +6.14%

20D

+35.67%

$24.08

Act: +1.63%

Price: $17.75 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001140361-26-013230

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

You’ve Exceeded the SEC’s Traffic Limit

Your request rate has exceeded the SEC’s maximum allowable requests per second. Your access to SEC.gov will be limited for 10 minutes.

Current guidelines limit each user to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests. To ensure that SEC.gov remains available to all users, we reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests.

The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

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Internet Security Policy

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To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

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About Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) Earnings

This page provides Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on AESI's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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