Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-11.77%
$4.86
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-15.61%
$4.65
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-8.53%
$5.04
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | SELL | -11.77% | -15.61% | -8.53% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q1 2026 | SELL | -11.45% | -14.19% | -3.28% | 100.0% | -21.32% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Sep 10, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-11.77%
$4.86
Act: +17.15%
5D
-15.61%
$4.65
20D
-8.53%
$5.04
2 ex99-1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Alliance Entertainment Reports Fiscal 2026 Revenue Up 8% to $1.15 Billion; Gross Margin Expands 80 Basis Points to 13.3%
net income was $13.1 million, or $0.26 per diluted share; adjusted EBITDA increased 14% to $41.5 million; adjusted net income rose 24% to $23.4 million and adjusted diluted EPS increased 24% to $0.46
Vinyl revenue increases 13% to $383 million; CD revenue rises 25% to $156 million
Physical movie revenue increases 22% as relationships with Paramount and Amazon MGM Studios reinforce Alliance’s position as a scaled physical entertainment distribution partner
Collectibles revenue increases 45% as Alliance expands its portfolio of higher-value, premium and proprietary products
Fla., September 10, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Nasdaq: AENT), a scaled entertainment commerce and collectibles platform serving content owners, brands, retailers and fans across music, movies, gaming, licensed merchandise and collectibles, with proprietary brands, authentication technology and reach across more than 35,000 retail and e-commerce storefronts, reported its financial and operational results for its fiscal year ended June 30, 2026.
Fiscal 2026 Financial Highlights
● Net Revenues: Increased 8% to $1.149 billion, compared with $1.063 billion in fiscal 2025.
● Gross Profit and Margin: Gross profit increased 15% to $152.3 million from $132.9 million, while gross margin expanded 80 basis points to 13.3% from 12.5%.
●
Results: Operating income was $27.2 million and net income was $13.1 million, compared with $30.1 million and $15.1 million, respectively. Fiscal 2026 included a $7.8 million non-cash write-off of a historical vendor rebate receivable.
● Adjusted EBITDA: Increased 14% to $41.5 million, compared with $36.5 million in fiscal 2025.
● Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Diluted EPS: Adjusted net income increased 24% to $23.4 million, compared with $18.9 million in fiscal 2025, while adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 24% to $0.46 from $0.37.
● Interest Expense: Decreased 28% to $7.6 million from $10.6 million, reflecting a lower average effective interest rate following the Company’s refinancing.
● Cash Flow and Liquidity: Net cash used in operating activities was $1.7 million, compared with $26.8 million of net cash provided in fiscal 2025, primarily reflecting increased inventory and receivables to support growth. The Company ended fiscal 2026 with $45.7 million of availability under its $120 million revolving credit facility.
“Fiscal 2026 demonstrated that the strategy we have been executing is strengthening both the quality of our business and our position across the entertainment ecosystem,” said Jeff Walker, Chief Executive Officer of Alliance Entertainment. “The market for physical entertainment continues to evolve toward premium formats, collectible products and more specialized distribution, and those changes are playing directly to the capabilities we have built over more than three decades. Our expanding relationships with major content owners, including Paramount and Amazon MGM Studios, reinforce the value of our scale, infrastructure, and ability to manage increasingly complex physical entertainment programs across wholesale, retail, and e-commerce channels.”
“Our opportunity is increasingly broader than traditional distribution,” Walker continued. “We are using the same infrastructure and relationships that support our core business to expand into higher-value collectibles, proprietary products, fulfillment services and new capabilities such as authentication and digital product identity. Our focus is not simply on putting more volume through the platform, but on improving the value and economics of what moves through it. As the entertainment market becomes more specialized and content owners and retailers look for scaled partners that can manage that complexity, we believe Alliance is increasingly well positioned to capture those opportunities and create durable long-term value.”
“Fiscal 2026 was a year of strong execution for Alliance Entertainment,” said Amanda Gnecco, Chief Financial Officer of Alliance Entertainment. “We expanded gross margins, grew gross profit faster than revenue and delivered growth in adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted diluted earnings per share. These results demonstrate the progress we’ve made in strengthening the earnings profile of the business while continuing to invest in the products, capabilities and partnerships that support our long-term growth strategy.”
“Looking ahead to fiscal 2027, we are excited about the opportunities in front of us,” Gnecco added. “Our focus remains on driving profitable growth, improving cash generation and increasing operating leverage as we continue to scale the business. Combined with lower borrowing costs, solid liquidity and continued investment in automation and technology, we beli
May 14, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-11.45%
$6.73
Act: -13.03%
5D
-14.19%
$6.52
Act: -21.32%
20D
-3.28%
$7.35
Act: -29.54%
2 ex99-1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Alliance Entertainment Reports Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Results
Net revenues increased 21% year-over-year
Net income increased 25% year-over-year to $2.3M; year-to-date net income grew 78% to $16.6M
Adjusted EBITDA increased to $5.1M in Q3; year-to-date Adjusted EBITDA up 47% to $35.7M
Fla., May 14, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Nasdaq: AENT), a premier distributor, logistics provider, and omnichannel fulfillment partner to the entertainment and pop culture collectibles industry, supplying more than 340,000 unique SKUs across music, video, video games, licensed merchandise, and exclusive collectibles to over 35,000 retail and e-commerce storefronts, reported its financial and operational results for its fiscal third quarter ended March 31, 2026.
Third Quarter FY 2026 Highlights
●Revenue Growth and Sustained Profitability: Net revenues increased 21.2% year-over-year to $258.2 million, driven by broad-based strength across core physical product categories. Net income increased to $2.3 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, compared to $1.9 million, or $0.04 per share, in the prior-year period, reflecting continued execution against the Company’s profitability framework. Adjusted EBITDA was approximately $5.1 million, compared to $4.9 million in Q3 FY25. For the nine months ended March 31, 2026, net revenues increased 5% to $880.9 million, compared to $835.7 million in the prior-year period, while net income increased 78% to $16.6 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, compared to $9.3 million, or $0.18 per share. Adjusted EBITDA was approximately $35.7 million, up 47% from $24.4 million in the prior-year period.
●Launch of Endstate Authentic and Alliance Authentic™: The Company continued to advance its technology strategy following the acquisition of Endstate on December 31, 2025, establishing Endstate Authentic, an NFC-enabled authentication and digital product identity platform that supports authenticated ownership, provenance, and verified resale across premium physical goods. During the quarter, Alliance also launched Alliance Authentic™, representing the Company’s first application of these capabilities within its own product ecosystem, initially focused on premium vinyl collectibles. The platform has since expanded to include additional categories, including Handmade by Robots™ and select third-party collectibles such as Funko figures. These initiatives extend Alliance’s role beyond distribution into ownership and participation across the product lifecycle, while creating a scalable foundation for new authentication, collectibles, and platform revenue opportunities.
●Strength in Physical Media: Vinyl record sales increased 15% year-over-year to $99 million, driven by higher unit volumes and sustained interest in limited-edition releases. Compact disc (CD) sales increased 90% year-over-year to $39 million, reflecting both higher unit volumes and improved pricing, driven by strong demand for major releases and collectible formats, including continued strength in international and K-pop titles. Physical movie sales increased 5% year-over-year to $61 million, supported by a steady cadence of new releases and continued consumer demand for premium formats such as 4K Ultra HD and collectible editions. Performance in the category continued to benefit from the Company’s exclusive studio partnerships, including Paramount and Amazon MGM Studios Distribution, which expanded title availability and supported growth across key retail channels.
●Collectibles Growth Driven by Premium Mix: Collectibles revenue increased 48% year-over-year to $8 million, driven by increased average selling prices and a continued shift toward higher-value, premium products. Growth was supported by expanded sourcing efforts and the addition of new vendor relationships, which contributed incremental sales during the quarter. Performance also benefited from the transition of Handmade by Robots™ to an owned brand, as well as improved margins across certain legacy brands following prior inventory optimization initiatives, reflecting continued progress in enhancing product mix and profitability within the collectibles category.
●Growth in Gaming and Electronics: Gaming revenue increased 12% year-over-year to $33 million, supported by continued demand for next-generation consoles, including the Nintendo Switch II, along with related software and accessories. Electronics revenue increased 53% year-over-year to $4.0 million, driven by higher unit volumes and a favorable mix shift toward higher-priced audio playback devices and accessories, including turntables, CD players, headphones, and speakers. Growth in electronics continued to benefit from strong demand for vinyl and physical media, which drives attachment sales of complementary hardware. Performance in both categories reflects the Company’s ability to align product mix with evolving cons
Feb 13, 2026
4 ex99-1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Alliance Entertainment Reports Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Results
Adjusted EBITDA up 15% to $18.5M; Gross Margin expands 210 basis points to 12.8%
Net Income increased to $9.4M, or $0.18 per share, compared to $7.1M, or $0.14 per share, in Q2 FY25
Strengthened balance sheet, ending quarter with $74.1M in working capital
Fla., February 12, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Nasdaq: AENT), a premier distributor, logistics provider, and omnichannel fulfillment partner to the entertainment and pop culture collectibles industry, supplying more than 340,000 unique SKUs across music, video, video games, licensed merchandise, and exclusive collectibles to over 35,000 retail and e-commerce storefronts, reported its financial and operational results for its fiscal second quarter ended December 31, 2025.
Second Quarter FY 2026 Highlights
●Sustained Profitability and Margin Execution: Net income increased year-over-year to approximately $9.4 million, or $0.18 per share, up from $7.1 million, or $0.14 per share in Q2 FY25, reflecting continued execution against the Company’s established profitability baseline. Adjusted EBITDA was approximately $18.5 million, an increase of $2.4 million year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA margin was approximately 5%, compared to 4.1% in Q2 FY25, a 200 basis point improvement over the margin profile achieved in the trailing 12-months ended September 30, 2025. Gross margin expanded 210 basis points year-over-year to 12.8%, driven by favorable mix and higher-value products. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measure is provided at the end of this release.
●Launch of Authentication and Digital Product Identity Platform: On December 31, 2025, the Company completed the acquisition of Endstate, establishing Endstate Authentic, a dedicated NFC-enabled authentication and digital product identity platform. The platform expands Alliance’s role beyond physical product distribution by enabling authenticated ownership, provenance, and verified resale across premium physical goods, supporting the full lifecycle of collectible products from initial sale through secondary markets. Designed as a scalable, enterprise-grade platform, Endstate Authentic is intended to support both Alliance’s internal initiatives and third-party brands, licensors, and ecosystem partners, adding a technology-enabled layer that enhances trust, differentiation, and long-term value creation across the collectibles and premium goods market. Subsequent to quarter end, Alliance launched Alliance Authentic™, a premium vinyl collectibles platform that represents the first commercial application of these capabilities within the Company’s portfolio.
●Strength in Physical Media: Physical movie revenue increased 33% year-over-year to $114 million, benefiting from sustained demand for premium formats such as 4K Ultra HD and collectible SteelBook editions, as well as the Company’s exclusive distribution partnerships. Alliance was named the exclusive physical media distribution partner for Amazon MGM Studios in North America, effective January 1, 2026, further strengthening its leadership in premium home entertainment and collector-focused releases. Vinyl record sales increased 3% year-over-year, supported by continued consumer demand for collectible and limited-edition releases. Compact disc (CD) sales increased approximately 5% year-over-year, supported by higher unit volumes and the Company’s first full quarter as the exclusive distributor for Virgin Music Group through its AMPED Distribution division.
●Collectibles Growth and Portfolio Expansion: Collectibles revenue increased 31% year-over-year, driven by higher average selling prices and a continued shift toward premium, licensed products. Results benefited from expanded sourcing activity, new vendor additions, and the continued integration of the Company’s owned brand, Handmade by Robots™.
●Operational Discipline and Infrastructure Investment: Operating income increased year-over-year to $17.3 million, up from $14.8 million in Q2 FY25, reflecting continued operating leverage and disciplined cost management. Total operating expenses rose modestly, driven by targeted investments in technology, personnel, and infrastructure to support exclusive content partnerships and long-term scalability. Distribution and fulfillment costs were 3.3% of net revenue, consistent with 3.2% in Q2 FY25, supported by warehouse automation initiatives and ongoing efficiencies from prior facility consolidation.
●Balance Sheet and Liquidity Strength: The Company ended the quarter with working capital of approximately $74.1 million, reflecting disciplined management of inventory and payables. During the quarter, the Company refinanced its asset-based lending agreement with a new $120 million senior secured credit facility from Bank of America, enhancing liquidity and finan
This page provides Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (AENT) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on AENT's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.