Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-7.21%
$10.13
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-8.40%
$10.00
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-9.74%
$9.86
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | SELL | -7.21% | -8.40% | -9.74% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q2 2026 | SELL | -7.38% | -8.14% | -9.11% | 100.0% | -10.23% |
| Q1 2026 | SELL | -6.60% | -7.70% | -7.85% | 100.0% | -10.78% |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +11.36% | +7.48% | +8.23% | 100.0% | +2.07% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Oct 29, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-7.21%
$10.13
Act: +0.59%
5D
-8.40%
$10.00
20D
-9.74%
$9.86
2 acic-ex99_1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Company to Host Quarterly Conference Call at 5:00 P.M. ET on October 29, 2026
The information in this press release should be read in conjunction with an earnings presentation that is available on the Company's website at investors.amcoastal.com/events-and-presentations.
St. Petersburg, FL - October 29, 2026: American Coastal Insurance Corporation (Nasdaq: ACIC) ("ACIC" or the "Company"), a property and casualty insurance holding company, today reported its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.
($ in thousands, except for per share data)
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
2026
2025
Change
2026
2025
Change
Gross premiums written
$
74,111
$
71,812
3.2
%
$
439,810
$
498,010
(11.7
)%
Gross premiums earned
138,474
162,757
(14.9
)%
418,338
490,318
(14.7
)%
Net premiums earned
65,452
80,818
(19.0
)%
200,761
227,533
(11.8
)%
Total revenue
70,704
90,395
(21.8
)%
224,525
249,064
(9.9
)%
Income from continuing operations, net of tax
19,397
32,483
(40.3
)%
60,547
80,231
(24.5
)%
Income from discontinued operations, net of tax
—
—
NM
—
42
NM
Consolidated net income
$
19,397
$
32,483
(40.3
)%
$
60,547
$
80,273
(24.6
)%
Net income available to ACIC stockholders per diluted share
Continuing Operations
$
0.40
$
0.65
(38.5
)%
$
1.23
$
1.61
(23.6
)%
Discontinued Operations
—
—
NM
—
—
NM
Total
$
0.40
$
0.65
(38.5
)%
$
1.23
$
1.61
(23.6
)%
Reconciliation of net income to core income:
Plus: Non-cash amortization of intangible assets
$
610
$
609
0.2
%
$
1,830
$
1,828
0.1
%
Less: Income from discontinued operations, net of tax
—
—
NM
—
42
NM
Less: Net realized gains (losses) on investment portfolio
(4
)
—
NM
3,266
1,382
NM
Less: Unrealized gains (losses) on equity securities
(625
)
3,161
NM
4,136
3,429
20.6
%
Less: Net tax impact (1)
260
(536
)
NM
(1,170
)
(626
)
86.9
%
Core income(2)
20,376
30,467
(33.1
)%
56,145
77,874
(27.9
)%
Core income per diluted share (2)
$
0.42
$
0.61
(31.1
)%
$
1.14
$
1.57
(27.4
)%
Book value per share
$
7.52
$
6.71
12.1
%
NM = Not Meaningful
(1) In order to reconcile net income to the core income measures, the Company included the tax impact of all adjustments using the 21% federal corporate tax rate.
(2) Core income and core income per diluted share, both of which are measures that are not based on generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"), are reconciled above to net income and net income per diluted share, respectively, the most directly comparable GAAP measures. Additional information regarding non-GAAP financial measures presented in this press release can be found in the "Definitions of Non-GAAP Measures" section below.
1
Exhibit 99.1
Comments from President & Chief Executive Officer, B. Bradford Martz:
"Our third quarter results reflect the strength of our disciplined underwriting in a softening market. With our net pricing down more than 25% year over year, American Coastal delivered solid results against a very strong prior-year quarter, including net income of $19.4 million, a 64.7% combined ratio and a 24.1% core return on equity. Just as important, our underlying combined ratio was 68.4% for the quarter, in line with the first two quarters of the year, which tells us the quality of our portfolio has not changed even as rates have come down. We also returned to year-over-year growth in gross premiums written for the first time since early 2025.
We continue to generate strong, profitable results while using this part of the cycle to position American Coastal to benefit meaningfully from the next hard market. Book value per share reached $7.52, up 15.5% since year-end. During the quarter, we put our AmRisc partnership on a permanent footing, and our participation in AmRisc’s nationwide E&S commercial property portfolio has added $37.3 million of premium so far this year. We also received our certificate of authority for ACES Specialty and expect to begin writing E&S commercial property through Skyway in Florida, Texas and South Carolina in the coming months. With a strong balance sheet and new avenues for growth, we believe American Coastal is well positioned to compound significant value for shareholders over the long term."
Return on Equity and Core Return on Equity
The calculations of the Company's return on equity and core return on equity are shown below.
($ in thousands)
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Income from continuing operations, net of tax
$
19,397
$
32,483
$
60,547
$
80,231
Return on equity based on GAAP income from continuing operations, net of tax (1)
22
Aug 5, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-7.38%
$10.14
Act: -6.12%
5D
-8.14%
$10.06
Act: -10.23%
20D
-9.11%
$9.95
Transcript text not available. View on SEC.gov →
May 5, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-6.60%
$11.09
Act: -12.05%
5D
-7.70%
$10.96
Act: -10.78%
20D
-7.85%
$10.94
Act: -16.68%
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This page provides American Coastal Insurance Corporation (ACIC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ACIC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.