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AI Earnings Predictions for White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd. (WTM)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+0.30%

$2191.46

96% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.60%

$2263.71

96% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+4.64%

$2286.33

91% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $2185.00 Confidence: 92.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 6, 2026 · 92% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.30%

$2191.46

5D

+3.60%

$2263.71

20D

+4.64%

$2286.33

Price: $2185.00 Prob +5D: 96% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-005947

wtm-20260206FALSE000077686700007768672026-02-062026-02-06

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

February 6, 2026 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)

WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP, LTD.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Bermuda (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) 1-8993 (Commission file number) 94-2708455 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

23 South Main Street, Suite 3B, Hanover, New Hampshire 03755 (Address of principal executive offices)

(603) 640-2200 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Shares, par value $1.00 per shareWTMNew York Stock Exchange WTM.BHBermuda Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933(§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).                                     Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.      o

ITEM 2.02. RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.

On February 6, 2026, White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. issued a press release announcing its results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025. The press release furnished herewith is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. Certain information included in the press release constitutes non-GAAP financial measures (as defined in Regulation G of the Securities and Exchange Commission). Specifically, there are 14 non-GAAP financial measures: (i) Kudu’s EBITDA, (ii) Kudu’s adjusted EBITDA, (iii) Kudu’s annualized adjusted EBITDA, (iv) Kudu’s annualized revenue, (v) Kudu’s cash revenue yield, (vi) Bamboo’s MGA pre-tax income (loss), (vii) Bamboo’s MGA net income (loss), (viii) Bamboo’s MGA EBITDA, (ix) Bamboo’s MGA adjusted EBITDA, (x) Distinguished’s ScaleCo net income (loss), (xi) Distinguished’s ScaleCo EBITDA, (xii) Distinguished’s ScaleCo adjusted EBITDA, (xiii) total consolidated portfolio return excluding MediaAlpha and (xiv) total equity portfolio return excluding MediaAlpha. These non-GAAP financial measures have been reconciled from their most comparable GAAP financial measures. Kudu’s EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, annualized adjusted EBITDA, annualized revenue and cash revenue yield are non-GAAP financial measures. EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that adds back interest expense on debt, income tax (expense) benefit, depreciation and amortization of other intangible assets to GAAP net income (loss). Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that excludes certain other items in GAAP net income (loss) in addition to those added back to calculate EBITDA. The items relate to (i) net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) on Kudu’s revenue and earnings participation contracts, (ii) non-cash equity-based compensation expense and (iii) transaction expenses. A description of each item follows: •Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) - Represents net unrealized investment gains and losses recorded on Kudu’s revenue and earnings participation contracts, which are recorded at fair value under GAAP, and realized investment gains and losses from participation contracts sold during the period. •Non-cash equity-based compensation expense - Represents non-cash expenses related to Kudu’s management compensation that are settled with equity units in Kudu. •Transaction expenses - Represents costs directly related to Kudu’s mergers and acquisitions activity, such as external lawyer, banker, consulting and placement agent fees, which are not capitalized and are expensed under GAAP. Annualized adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that (i) annualizes partial year revenues related to Kudu’s revenue and earnings participation contracts acq

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 6, 2025

0001628280-25-049888

wtm-20251106FALSE000077686700007768672025-11-062025-11-06

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

November 6, 2025 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)

WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP, LTD.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Bermuda (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) 1-8993 (Commission file number) 94-2708455 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

23 South Main Street, Suite 3B, Hanover, New Hampshire 03755 (Address of principal executive offices)

(603) 640-2200 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Shares, par value $1.00 per shareWTMNew York Stock Exchange WTM.BHBermuda Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933(§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).                                     Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.      o

ITEM 2.02. RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.

On November 6, 2025, White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. issued a press release announcing its results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025. The press release furnished herewith is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. Certain information included in the press release constitutes non-GAAP financial measures (as defined in Regulation G of the Securities and Exchange Commission). Specifically, there are 14 non-GAAP financial measures: (i) Kudu’s EBITDA, (ii) Kudu’s adjusted EBITDA, (iii) Kudu’s annualized adjusted EBITDA, (iv) Kudu’s annualized revenue, (v) Kudu’s cash revenue yield, (vi) Bamboo’s MGA pre-tax income (loss), (vii) Bamboo’s MGA net income (loss), (viii) Bamboo’s MGA EBITDA, (ix) Bamboo’s MGA adjusted EBITDA, (x) Distinguished’s ScaleCo net income (loss), (xi) Distinguished’s ScaleCo EBITDA, (xii) Distinguished’s ScaleCo adjusted EBITDA, (xiii) total consolidated portfolio return excluding MediaAlpha and (xiv) total equity portfolio return excluding MediaAlpha. These non-GAAP financial measures have been reconciled from their most comparable GAAP financial measures. Kudu’s EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, annualized adjusted EBITDA, annualized revenue and cash revenue yield are non-GAAP financial measures. EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that adds back interest expense on debt, income tax (expense) benefit, depreciation and amortization of other intangible assets to GAAP net income (loss). Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that excludes certain other items in GAAP net income (loss) in addition to those added back to calculate EBITDA. The items relate to (i) net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) on Kudu’s revenue and earnings participation contracts, (ii) non-cash equity-based compensation expense and (iii) transaction expenses. A description of each item follows: •Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) - Represents net unrealized investment gains and losses recorded on Kudu’s revenue and earnings participation contracts, which are recorded at fair value under GAAP, and realized investment gains and losses from participation contracts sold during the period. •Non-cash equity-based compensation expense - Represents non-cash expenses related to Kudu’s management compensation that are settled with equity units in Kudu. •Transaction expenses - Represents costs directly related to Kudu’s mergers and acquisitions activity, such as external lawyer, banker, consulting and placement agent fees, which are not capitalized and are expensed under GAAP. Annualized adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that (i) annualizes partial year revenues related to Kudu’s revenue and earnings participation contracts ac

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 7, 2025

0000776867-25-000013

wtm-20250807FALSE000077686700007768672025-08-072025-08-07

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

August 7, 2025 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)

WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP, LTD.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Bermuda (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) 1-8993 (Commission file number) 94-2708455 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

23 South Main Street, Suite 3B, Hanover, New Hampshire 03755 (Address of principal executive offices)

(603) 640-2200 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Shares, par value $1.00 per shareWTMNew York Stock Exchange WTM.BHBermuda Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933(§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).                                     Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.      o

ITEM 2.02. RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.

On August 7, 2025, White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. issued a press release announcing its results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025. The press release furnished herewith is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. Certain information included in the press release constitutes non-GAAP financial measures (as defined in Regulation G of the Securities and Exchange Commission). Specifically, there are 11 non-GAAP financial measures: (i) Kudu’s EBITDA, (ii) Kudu’s adjusted EBITDA, (iii) Kudu’s annualized adjusted EBITDA, (iv) Kudu’s annualized revenue, (v) Kudu’s cash revenue yield, (vi) Bamboo’s MGA pre-tax income (loss), (vii) Bamboo’s MGA net income (loss), (viii) Bamboo’s MGA EBITDA, (ix) Bamboo’s MGA adjusted EBITDA, (x) total consolidated portfolio return excluding MediaAlpha and (xi) total equity portfolio return excluding MediaAlpha. These non-GAAP financial measures have been reconciled from their most comparable GAAP financial measures. Kudu’s EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, annualized adjusted EBITDA, annualized revenue and cash revenue yield are non-GAAP financial measures. EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that adds back interest expense on debt, income tax (expense) benefit, depreciation and amortization of other intangible assets to GAAP net income (loss). Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that excludes certain other items in GAAP net income (loss) in addition to those added back to calculate EBITDA. The items relate to (i) net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) on Kudu’s revenue and earnings participation contracts, (ii) non-cash equity-based compensation expense and (iii) transaction expenses. A description of each item follows: •Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) - Represents net unrealized investment gains and losses recorded on Kudu’s revenue and earnings participation contracts, which are recorded at fair value under GAAP, and realized investment gains and losses from participation contracts sold during the period. •Non-cash equity-based compensation expense - Represents non-cash expenses related to Kudu’s management compensation that are settled with equity units in Kudu. •Transaction expenses - Represents costs directly related to Kudu’s mergers and acquisitions activity, such as external lawyer, banker, consulting and placement agent fees, which are not capitalized and are expensed under GAAP. Annualized adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that (i) annualizes partial year revenues related to Kudu’s revenue and earnings participation contracts acquired during the previous 12-month period and (ii) removes partial year revenues related to revenue and earnings participation contracts sold du

About White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd. (WTM) Earnings

This page provides White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd. (WTM) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on WTM's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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