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AI Earnings Predictions for Waste Connections Inc. (WCN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-1.35%

$169.38

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-1.34%

$169.40

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+0.16%

$171.97

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $171.70 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 11, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.35%

$169.38

Act: -8.22%

5D

-1.34%

$169.40

Act: -3.28%

20D

+0.16%

$171.97

Price: $171.70 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-013370

Waste Connections, Inc._February 11, 2026 0001318220false00013182202026-02-112026-02-11 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report Pursuant To Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 11, 2026

Waste Connections, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ontario, Canada ​ ​ ​ 1-34370 ​ ​ ​ 98-1202763

(State or other jurisdiction of Incorporation) ​ (Commission File Number) ​ (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

​ 6220 Hwy 7, Suite 600 Woodbridge Ontario L4H 4G3 Canada (Address of principal executive offices) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (905) 532-7510 Not Applicable (Former name or address, if changed since last report.)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Shares, no par value WCN New York Stock Exchange NYSE Texas, Inc. Toronto Stock Exchange

​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​

​ ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​ ​

Item 2.02  Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ See Item 7.01 below. Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure. On February 11, 2026, Waste Connections, Inc., a corporation organized under the laws of Ontario, Canada (“Waste Connections” or the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its fourth quarter and full year 2025 results and its full year 2026 outlook.  A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in Items 2.02 and 7.01 is not deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, is not subject to the liabilities of that section, and is not deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

Safe Harbor and Forward-Looking Information

This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 ("PSLRA"), including "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. These forward-looking statements are neither historical facts nor assurances of future performance and reflect Waste Connections' current beliefs and expectations regarding future events and operating performance. These forward-looking statements are often identified by the words "may," "might," "believes," "thinks," "expects," "estimate," "continue," "intends" or other words of similar meaning. All of the forward-looking statements included in this document are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the PSLRA and applicable securities laws in Canada. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to, statements about expected 2026 financial results, outlook and related assumptions, and potential acquisition activity. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ, possibly materially, from those indicated by the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, risk factors detailed from time to time in the Company's filings with the SEC and the securities commissions or similar regulatory authorities in Canada.  You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document.  Waste Connections undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements set forth in this document, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws. ​ Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)Exhibits.

Exhibit No. Description

99.1 Press Release, dated February 11, 2026, issued by Waste Connections, Inc.

104

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 21, 2025

0001104659-25-101248

Waste Connections, Inc._October 21, 2025 0001318220false00013182202025-10-212025-10-21 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report Pursuant To Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 21, 2025

Waste Connections, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ontario, Canada

1-34370

98-1202763

(State or other jurisdiction of Incorporation) ​ (Commission File Number) ​ (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

​ 6220 Hwy 7, Suite 600 Woodbridge Ontario L4H 4G3 Canada (Address of principal executive offices) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (905) 532-7510 Not Applicable (Former name or address, if changed since last report.)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Shares, no par value WCN New York Stock Exchange NYSE Texas, Inc. Toronto Stock Exchange

​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​

​ ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​ ​

Item 2.02  Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ See Item 7.01 below. Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure. On October 21, 2025, Waste Connections, Inc., a corporation organized under the laws of Ontario, Canada (“Waste Connections” or the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its third quarter 2025 results.  A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in Items 2.02 and 7.01 is not deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, is not subject to the liabilities of that section, and is not deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

Safe Harbor and Forward-Looking Information

This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 ("PSLRA"), including "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. These forward-looking statements are neither historical facts nor assurances of future performance and reflect Waste Connections' current beliefs and expectations regarding future events and operating performance. These forward-looking statements are often identified by the words "may," "might," "believes," "thinks," "expects," "estimate," "continue," "intends" or other words of similar meaning. All of the forward-looking statements included in this document are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the PSLRA and applicable securities laws in Canada. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to, statements about expected 2025 financial results, outlook and related assumptions, and potential acquisition activity. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ, possibly materially, from those indicated by the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, risk factors detailed from time to time in the Company's filings with the SEC and the securities commissions or similar regulatory authorities in Canada.  You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document.  Waste Connections undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements set forth in this document, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws. ​ Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)Exhibits.

Exhibit No. Description

99.1 Press Release, dated October 21, 2025, issued by Waste Connections, Inc.

104 The cover page of Waste Connections, Inc. on Current Report

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 23, 2025

0001558370-25-009445

Waste Connections, Inc._July 23, 2025 0001318220false00013182202025-07-232025-07-23 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report Pursuant To Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 23, 2025

Waste Connections, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ontario, Canada

1-34370

98-1202763

(State or other jurisdiction of Incorporation) ​ (Commission File Number) ​ (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

​ 6220 Hwy 7, Suite 600 Woodbridge Ontario L4H 4G3 Canada (Address of principal executive offices) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (905) 532-7510 Not Applicable (Former name or address, if changed since last report.)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Shares, no par value WCN New York Stock Exchange NYSE Texas, Inc. Toronto Stock Exchange

​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​

​ ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

​ ​ ​

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​ ​

Item 2.02  Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ See Item 7.01 below. Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure. On July 23, 2025, Waste Connections, Inc., a corporation organized under the laws of Ontario, Canada (“Waste Connections” or the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its second quarter 2025 results and updated outlook for 2025.  A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in Items 2.02 and 7.01 is not deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, is not subject to the liabilities of that section, and is not deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

Safe Harbor and Forward-Looking Information

This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 ("PSLRA"), including "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. These forward-looking statements are neither historical facts nor assurances of future performance and reflect Waste Connections' current beliefs and expectations regarding future events and operating performance. These forward-looking statements are often identified by the words "may," "might," "believes," "thinks," "expects," "estimate," "continue," "intends" or other words of similar meaning. All of the forward-looking statements included in this document are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the PSLRA and applicable securities laws in Canada. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to, statements about expected 2025 financial results, outlook and related assumptions, and potential acquisition activity. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ, possibly materially, from those indicated by the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, risk factors detailed from time to time in the Company's filings with the SEC and the securities commissions or similar regulatory authorities in Canada.  You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document.  Waste Connections undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements set forth in this document, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws. ​ Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)Exhibits.

Exhibit No. Description

99.1 Press Release, dated July 23, 2025, issued by Waste Connections, Inc.

104 The cover page of Waste Connections, Inc.

About Waste Connections Inc. (WCN) Earnings

This page provides Waste Connections Inc. (WCN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on WCN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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