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AI Earnings Predictions for Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-7.81%

$6.85

3% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-8.98%

$6.76

3% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-3.93%

$7.14

3% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $7.43 Confidence: 94.5% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 11, 2026 · 94% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-7.81%

$6.85

5D

-8.98%

$6.76

20D

-3.93%

$7.14

Price: $7.43 Prob +5D: 3% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-007256

vnda-202602110001347178FALSE00013471782026-02-112026-02-11

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 11, 2026

VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3418603-0491827 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File No.)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

2200 Pennsylvania Avenue NW Suite 300E Washington, DC 20037 (Address of principal executive offices and zip code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (202) 734-3400

Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.001 per shareVNDAThe Nasdaq Global Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company  ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ¨

Item 2.02.Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 11, 2026, Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (“Vanda”) issued a press release and is holding a conference call regarding its results of operations and financial condition for the quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025 (the “Earnings Call”). The full text of the press release, which includes information regarding Vanda’s use of Non-GAAP financial measures, is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference herein. Various statements to be made during the Earnings Call are “forward-looking statements” under the securities laws, including, but not limited to, statements regarding Vanda’s commercial products, plans and opportunities, as well as statements about Vanda’s products in development and the related clinical development and regulatory timelines and commercial potential for such products. Words such as, but not limited to, “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “project,” “target,” “goal,” “likely,” “will,” “would,” and “could,” or the negative of these terms and similar expressions or words, identify forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are statements that could be deemed forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations and assumptions that involve risks, changes in circumstances and uncertainties. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in Vanda’s forward-looking statements include, among others, Vanda’s assumptions regarding the strength of its business in the U.S. and Vanda’s ability to complete the clinical development of, and obtain regulatory approval for, the products in its pipeline. Therefore, no assurance can be given that the actual results or developments anticipated by Vanda will be realized or, even if substantially realized, that they will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, Vanda. Forward-looking statements made during the Earnings Call should be evaluated together with the various risks and uncertainties that affect Vanda’s business and market, particularly those identified in the “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements”, “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” sections of Vanda’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, as updated by Vanda’s subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, Current Reports on Form 8-K and other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which are available at www.sec.gov. All written and verbal forward-looking statements attributable to Vanda or any person acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to herein. The information contained in this Curre

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 29, 2025

0001628280-25-047112

vnda-202510290001347178FALSE00013471782025-10-292025-10-29

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 29, 2025

VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3418603-0491827 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File No.)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

2200 Pennsylvania Avenue NW Suite 300E Washington, DC 20037 (Address of principal executive offices and zip code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (202) 734-3400

Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.001 per shareVNDAThe Nasdaq Global Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company  ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ¨

Item 2.02.Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 29, 2025, Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (“Vanda”) issued a press release and is holding a conference call regarding its results of operations and financial condition for the quarter ended September 30, 2025 (the “Earnings Call”). The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference herein. Various statements to be made during the Earnings Call are “forward-looking statements” under the securities laws, including, but not limited to, statements regarding Vanda’s commercial products, plans and opportunities, as well as statements about Vanda’s products in development and the related clinical development and regulatory timelines and commercial potential for such products. Words such as, but not limited to, “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “project,” “target,” “goal,” “likely,” “will,” “would,” and “could,” or the negative of these terms and similar expressions or words, identify forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are statements that could be deemed forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations and assumptions that involve risks, changes in circumstances and uncertainties. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in Vanda’s forward-looking statements include, among others, Vanda’s assumptions regarding the strength of its business in the U.S. and Vanda’s ability to complete the clinical development of, and obtain regulatory approval for, the products in its pipeline. Therefore, no assurance can be given that the actual results or developments anticipated by Vanda will be realized or, even if substantially realized, that they will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, Vanda. Forward-looking statements made during the Earnings Call should be evaluated together with the various risks and uncertainties that affect Vanda’s business and market, particularly those identified in the “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements”, “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” sections of Vanda’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, as updated by Vanda’s subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, Current Reports on Form 8-K and other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which are available at www.sec.gov. All written and verbal forward-looking statements attributable to Vanda or any person acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to herein. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K is intended to be considered in the context of Vanda’s filings with the SEC

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 31, 2025

0001628280-25-036843

vnda-202507310001347178FALSE00013471782025-07-312025-07-31

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 31, 2025

VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3418603-0491827 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File No.)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

2200 Pennsylvania Avenue NW Suite 300E Washington, DC 20037 (Address of principal executive offices and zip code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (202) 734-3400

Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.001 per shareVNDAThe Nasdaq Global Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company  ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ¨

Item 2.02.Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On July 31, 2025, Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (“Vanda”) issued a press release and is holding a conference call regarding its results of operations and financial condition for the quarter ended June 30, 2025 (the “Earnings Call”). The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference herein. Various statements to be made during the Earnings Call are “forward-looking statements” under the securities laws, including, but not limited to, statements regarding Vanda’s commercial products, plans and opportunities, as well as statements about Vanda’s products in development and the related clinical development and regulatory timelines and commercial potential for such products. Words such as, but not limited to, “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “project,” “target,” “goal,” “likely,” “will,” “would,” and “could,” or the negative of these terms and similar expressions or words, identify forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are statements that could be deemed forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations and assumptions that involve risks, changes in circumstances and uncertainties. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in Vanda’s forward-looking statements include, among others, Vanda’s assumptions regarding the strength of its business in the U.S. and Vanda’s ability to complete the clinical development of, and obtain regulatory approval for, the products in its pipeline. Therefore, no assurance can be given that the actual results or developments anticipated by Vanda will be realized or, even if substantially realized, that they will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, Vanda. Forward-looking statements made during the Earnings Call should be evaluated together with the various risks and uncertainties that affect Vanda’s business and market, particularly those identified in the “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements”, “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” sections of Vanda’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, as updated by Vanda’s subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, Current Reports on Form 8-K and other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which are available at www.sec.gov. All written and verbal forward-looking statements attributable to Vanda or any person acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to herein. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K is intended to be considered in the context of Vanda’s filings with the SEC and other

About Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) Earnings

This page provides Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on VNDA's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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