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AI Earnings Predictions for United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

-0.27%

$107.51

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+2.02%

$109.99

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+4.17%

$112.30

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $107.81 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 27, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

-0.27%

$107.51

Act: -3.79%

5D

+2.02%

$109.99

Act: +3.76%

20D

+4.17%

$112.30

Act: +5.62%

Price: $107.81 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-003510

ups-202601270001090727falseJanuary 27, 202600010907272026-01-272026-01-270001090727exch:XNYS2026-01-272026-01-270001090727exch:XNYSups:SeniorNotes1Due2028Member2026-01-272026-01-270001090727exch:XNYSups:SeniorNotes1.500Due2032Member2026-01-272026-01-27

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 27, 2026

United Parcel Service, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-1545158-2480149 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E., Atlanta, Georgia                30328 (Address of principal executive offices)                 (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (404) 828-6000 Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of Each ClassTrading SymbolName of Each Exchange on Which Registered Class B common stock, par value $0.01 per shareUPSNew York Stock Exchange

1% Senior Notes due 2028UPS28New York Stock Exchange

1.500% Senior Notes due 2032UPS32New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company. ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 — Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 27, 2026, United Parcel Service, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release containing information about the Company’s results of operations and financial condition for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. The Company also posted on its website at www.investors.ups.com financial statement schedules containing additional detail about the Company's results of operations and financial condition for the same period.

A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. A copy of the financial statement schedules is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2.

Item 9.01 — Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

99.1       Press release dated January 27, 2026 99.2       Financial statement schedules 104       The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL

The information contained in Items 2.02 and 9.01 shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act") or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act, except as may be expressly set forth by reference in any such filing.

Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC.

Date: January 27, 2026 By:/s/ BRIAN DYKES Brian Dykes Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 28, 2025

0001628280-25-046550

ups-202510280001090727falseOctober 28, 202500010907272025-10-282025-10-280001090727exch:XNYS2025-10-282025-10-280001090727exch:XNYSups:SeniorNotes1625Due2025Member2025-10-282025-10-280001090727exch:XNYSups:SeniorNotes1Due2028Member2025-10-282025-10-280001090727exch:XNYSups:SeniorNotes1.500Due2032Member2025-10-282025-10-28

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 28, 2025

United Parcel Service, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-1545158-2480149 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E., Atlanta, Georgia                30328 (Address of principal executive offices)                 (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (404) 828-6000 Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of Each ClassTrading SymbolName of Each Exchange on Which Registered Class B common stock, par value $0.01 per shareUPSNew York Stock Exchange

1.625% Senior Notes Due 2025UPS25New York Stock Exchange

1% Senior Notes due 2028UPS28New York Stock Exchange

1.500% Senior Notes due 2032UPS32New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company. ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 — Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 28, 2025, United Parcel Service, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release containing information about the Company’s results of operations and financial condition for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The Company also posted on its website at www.investors.ups.com financial statement schedules containing additional detail about the Company's results of operations and financial condition for the same period.

A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. A copy of the financial statement schedules is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2.

Item 9.01 — Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

99.1       Press release dated September 30, 2025 "UPS RELEASES 3Q 2025 EARNINGS" 99.2       Q3 2025 financial statement schedules 104       The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL

The information contained in Items 2.02 and 9.01 shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act") or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act, except as may be expressly set forth by reference in any such filing.

Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC.

Date: October 28, 2025 By:/s/ BRIAN DYKES Brian Dykes Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 29, 2025

0001090727-25-000061

ups-202507290001090727falseJuly 29, 202500010907272025-07-292025-07-290001090727exch:XNYS2025-07-292025-07-290001090727exch:XNYSups:SeniorNotes1625Due2025Member2025-07-292025-07-290001090727exch:XNYSups:SeniorNotes1Due2028Member2025-07-292025-07-290001090727exch:XNYSups:SeniorNotes1.500Due2032Member2025-07-292025-07-29

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 29, 2025

United Parcel Service, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-1545158-2480149 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E., Atlanta, Georgia                30328 (Address of principal executive offices)                 (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (404) 828-6000 Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of Each ClassTrading SymbolName of Each Exchange on Which Registered Class B common stock, par value $0.01 per shareUPSNew York Stock Exchange

1.625% Senior Notes Due 2025UPS25New York Stock Exchange

1% Senior Notes due 2028UPS28New York Stock Exchange

1.500% Senior Notes due 2032UPS32New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company. ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 — Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On July 29, 2025, United Parcel Service, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release containing information about the Company’s results of operations and financial condition for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The Company also posted on its website at www.investors.ups.com financial statement schedules containing additional detail about the Company's results of operations and financial condition for the same period.

A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. A copy of the financial statement schedules is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2.

Item 9.01 — Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

99.1       Press release dated June 30, 2025 "UPS RELEASES 2Q 2025 EARNINGS" 99.2       Q2 2025 financial statement schedules 104       The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL

The information contained in Items 2.02 and 9.01 shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act") or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act, except as may be expressly set forth by reference in any such filing.

Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC.

Date: July 29, 2025 By:/s/ BRIAN DYKES Brian Dykes Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

About United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) Earnings

This page provides United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on UPS's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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