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AI Earnings Predictions for Frontier Group Holdings Inc. (ULCC)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-6.92%

$5.11

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-10.63%

$4.91

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-13.50%

$4.75

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $5.49 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 11, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-6.92%

$5.11

5D

-10.63%

$4.91

20D

-13.50%

$4.75

Price: $5.49 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001670076-26-000008

fron-202602110001670076FALSE00016700762026-02-112026-02-11

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 11, 2026


Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware001-40304 46-3681866 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

4545 Airport Way Denver, CO 80239 (720) 374-4550 (Address of principal executive offices, including zip code, and Registrant's telephone number, including area code)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.001 par valueULCCThe Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company    ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 11, 2026, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference herein. The Company makes reference to non-GAAP financial information in the press release. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to their nearest GAAP equivalents is provided in the press release. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.Description 99.1Press Release, dated February 11, 2026

104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC.

Date: February 11, 2026 By: /s/ Howard M. Diamond Howard M. Diamond Executive Vice President, Legal and Corporate Affairs

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jan 8, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-6.92%

$5.11

5D

-10.63%

$4.91

20D

-13.50%

$4.75

Price: $5.49 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-007030

8-K

false 0001670076 0001670076 2026-01-07 2026-01-07

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 7, 2026

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

001-40304

46-3681866

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

4545 Airport Way Denver, CO 80239 (720) 374-4550 (Address of principal executive offices, including zip code, and Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.001 par value per share

ULCC

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 5.02. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.

On January 7, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) approved the appointment of James G. Dempsey as President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, effective immediately. Mr. Dempsey had been serving as the Company’s President and interim Chief Executive Officer since December 15, 2025, as previously reported in the Current Report on Form 8-K filed by the Company on December 15, 2025. In addition, the Board appointed Mr. Dempsey to serve as a Class III director, effective immediately, to serve for an initial term expiring at the Company’s 2027 annual meeting of stockholders and until his earlier death, resignation or removal. Biographical information for Mr. Dempsey, age 50, can be found on page 17 of the Company’s definitive proxy statement filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on April 3, 2025, and is incorporated herein by reference. In connection with his appointment as President and Chief Executive Officer, the Board’s Compensation Committee (the “Committee”) increased Mr. Dempsey’s annual base salary to $747,000 and increased his target cash incentive opportunity to 125% of base salary. Mr. Dempsey’s fiscal 2026 long-term equity incentive awards will have an aggregate grant date fair value equal to $3,500,000 and will be granted in the ordinary course. The award vehicles, mix and vesting terms and conditions will be consistent with the terms and conditions of the equity awards to be granted to the Company’s other executive officers. In addition, the Committee approved a promotion performance stock unit grant to Mr. Dempsey with a target grant date fair value of $1,750,000, which will cliff vest on the fourth annual anniversary of the grant date, subject to his continuing service to the Company through the vesting date. The number of shares that will be earned, if any, is determined by a performance multiplier by dividing the average closing price of the Company’s shares of common stock as of the end of the four-year performance period (with a maximum capped at $30.0 per share) by the average closing price of the Company’s shares of common stock as of the beginning of the performance period. In addition, there would be no payout at the end of the performance period if the average share price is below 50% of the average share price as of the beginning of the performance period. The foregoing summary of the amendment to Mr. Dempsey’s employment agreement (the “Amendment”) is not complete and is qualified in its entirety by the terms and provisions of the Amendment. A copy of the Amendment will be filed as an exhibit to the Company’s Quarter Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ending March 31, 2025. There are no arrangements or understandings between Mr. Dempsey and any other person pursuant to which he was appointed. Mr.

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Dec 15, 2025

0001193125-25-319189

8-K

false 0001670076 0001670076 2025-12-14 2025-12-14

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): December 14, 2025

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

001-40304

46-3681866

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

4545 Airport Way Denver, CO 80239 (720) 374-4550 (Address of principal executive offices, including zip code, and Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.001 par value per share

ULCC

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 5.02. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.

On December 15, 2025, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) announced the departure of Barry L. Biffle as the Company’s Chief Executive Officer, effective as of December 15, 2025. Mr. Biffle is expected to continue as a director of the Company and be employed by the Company in an advisory capacity until December 31, 2025. The Company thanks Mr. Biffle for his many years of service and leadership. On December 14, 2025, the Board approved the appointment of James G. Dempsey, the Company’s President, as Interim Chief Executive Officer, effective as of December 15, 2025. In connection with his appointment, Mr. Dempsey has been designated as the Company’s principal executive officer as of such date. Mr. Dempsey will continue to serve as the Company’s President. Biographical information for Mr. Dempsey, age 50, can be found on page 17 of the Company’s definitive proxy statement filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on April 3, 2025, and is incorporated herein by reference. The Board’s Compensation Committee and the Board will evaluate Mr. Dempsey’s compensation at a later date. At this time, any changes to Mr. Dempsey’s compensatory arrangements in connection with his appointment as Interim Chief Executive Officer have not been determined. There are no arrangements or understandings between Mr. Dempsey and any other person pursuant to which he was appointed. Mr. Dempsey does not have any family relationship with any director or other executive officer of the Company or any person nominated or chosen by the Company to become a director or executive officer, and there are no transactions in which Mr. Dempsey has an interest requiring disclosure under Item 404(a) of Regulation S-K. Mr. Biffle’s expected departure as a director of the Company is not the result of any disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to the Company’s operations, policies or practices.

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On December 15, 2025, the Company issued a press release that, among other things, reiterated the Company’s estimated fourth quarter 2025 guidance, which was previously announced on November 5, 2025. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information in this Item 2.02 of Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto is being furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 of Form 8-K and therefore shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and Information Certain statements in this Current Report on Form

About Frontier Group Holdings Inc. (ULCC) Earnings

This page provides Frontier Group Holdings Inc. (ULCC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ULCC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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