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AI Earnings Predictions for United Fire Group Inc. (UFCS)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+6.08%

$41.08

74% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+9.12%

$42.25

74% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+11.03%

$42.99

71% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $38.72 Confidence: 48.8% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 11, 2026 · 49% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+6.08%

$41.08

Act: +2.27%

5D

+9.12%

$42.25

Act: -1.65%

20D

+11.03%

$42.99

Price: $38.72 Prob +5D: 74% AUC: 1.000
0000101199-26-000006

ufcs-20260209false000010119900001011992026-02-092026-02-09

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 9, 2026

United Fire Group Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Iowa001-3425745-2302834 (State of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

118 Second Avenue SE Cedar RapidsIowa52401 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (319) 399-5700

_______________________N/A________________________

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Exchange Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, $0.001 par valueUFCSThe NASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 10, 2026, United Fire Group, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. The release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report and the exhibit attached hereto are being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Item 8.01. Other Events. On February 9, 2026, the Board of Directors of UFG declared a $0.20 per share quarterly cash dividend, which will be payable March 10, 2026, to common stock shareholders of record as of February 24, 2026. A copy of the Company’s related press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits. The following exhibits are furnished herewith:

Exhibit 99.1Press release of United Fire Group, Inc. dated February 10, 2026

Exhibit 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document.)

Signatures

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

United Fire Group, Inc. (Registrant)

Dated:2/9/2026/s/ Kevin Leidwinger Kevin Leidwinger, Chief Executive Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 4, 2025

0000101199-25-000069

ufcs-20251104false000010119900001011992025-11-042025-11-04

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 4, 2025

United Fire Group Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Iowa001-3425745-2302834 (State of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

118 Second Avenue SE Cedar RapidsIowa52401 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (319) 399-5700

_______________________N/A________________________

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Exchange Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, $0.001 par valueUFCSThe NASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 4, 2025, United Fire Group, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report and the exhibit attached hereto are being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits. The following exhibits are furnished herewith:

Exhibit 99.1Press release of United Fire Group, Inc. dated November 4, 2025

Exhibit 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document.)

Signatures

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

United Fire Group, Inc. (Registrant)

Dated:November 4, 2025 /s/ Kevin Leidwinger Kevin Leidwinger, Chief Executive Officer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 5, 2025

0000101199-25-000047

ufcs-20250805false000010119900001011992025-08-052025-08-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): August 5, 2025

United Fire Group Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Iowa001-3425745-2302834 (State of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

118 Second Avenue SE Cedar RapidsIowa52401 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (319) 399-5700

_______________________N/A________________________

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Exchange Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, $0.001 par valueUFCSThe NASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On August 5, 2025, United Fire Group, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report and the exhibit attached hereto are being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits. The following exhibits are furnished herewith:

Exhibit 99.1Press release of United Fire Group, Inc. dated August 5, 2025

Exhibit 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document.)

Signatures

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

United Fire Group, Inc. (Registrant)

Dated:August 5, 2025 /s/ Kevin Leidwinger Kevin Leidwinger, Chief Executive Officer

About United Fire Group Inc. (UFCS) Earnings

This page provides United Fire Group Inc. (UFCS) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on UFCS's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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