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AI Earnings Predictions for Texas Roadhouse Inc. (TXRH)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.35%

$186.82

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.49%

$190.72

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+5.02%

$191.69

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $182.53 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 19, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.35%

$186.82

5D

+4.49%

$190.72

20D

+5.02%

$191.69

Price: $182.53 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-017538

TEXAS ROADHOUSE, INC._February 18, 2026 0001289460false00012894602026-02-182026-02-18 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549 ​

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)   February 18, 2026 ​

TEXAS ROADHOUSE, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​

Delaware

000-50972

20-1083890

(State or other jurisdiction

(Commission

(IRS Employer

of incorporation)

File Number)

Identification No.)

​ ​ ​

6040 Dutchmans Lane, Louisville, KY

40205

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

​ Registrant’s telephone number, including area code    (502) 426-9984 ​ N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.) ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​ ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

​ ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ ​

Title of each Class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.001 per share

TXRH

Nasdaq Global Select Market

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.            ☐ ​ ​ ​

ITEM 2.02.  RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION

​ On February 19, 2026, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter ended and fiscal year ended December 30, 2025. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ​ Item 5.02.  Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. ​ (e)In connection with Keith Humpich’s prior appointment to interim Chief Financial Officer on June 9, 2025, the talent management and compensation committee of the Company’s Board of Directors agreed that he would receive a $100,000 stipend per fiscal quarter (or portion thereto) in which he serves in such position, which amount will be paid in arrears. Mr. Humpich served as interim Chief Financial Officer until Mike Lenihan’s appointment to Chief Financial Officer on December 3, 2025. On February 18, 2026 and in observance for his continued support of the Company in the transition of Mr. Lenihan to the Chief Financial Officer position, the talent management and compensation committee of the Company’s Board of Directors agreed that Mr. Humpich, the Company’s Chief Accounting and Financial Services Officer, would continue to receive the $100,000 per quarter stipend to and through June 30, 2026. ​

ITEM 8.01. OTHER EVENTS

​ On February 18, 2026, the Company’s Board of Directors approved the payment of a quarterly cash dividend of $0.75 per share of common stock. This payment will be distributed on March 31, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on March 17, 2026. ​

ITEM 9.01.  FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS

​ (d)         EXHIBITS ​

​ ​

99.1 Press Release issued by the Company on February 19, 2026.

104 Cover Page Interactive File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded in the Inline XBRL document)

​ The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K at Item 2.02 and the Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. Such information will not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement filed by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated by reference. ​ ​ ​

2

SIGNATURE

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. ​ ​

TEXAS ROADHOUSE, INC.

​ ​

​ ​

Date: February 19, 2026 By: /s/ Michael S. Lenihan

​ ​ Michael S

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 6, 2025

0001104659-25-107724

TEXAS ROADHOUSE, INC._November 5, 2025 0001289460false00012894602025-11-052025-11-05 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549 ​

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)   November 5, 2025 ​

TEXAS ROADHOUSE, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​

Delaware

000-50972

20-1083890

(State or other jurisdiction

(Commission

(IRS Employer

of incorporation)

File Number)

Identification No.)

​ ​ ​

6040 Dutchmans Lane, Louisville, KY

40205

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

​ Registrant’s telephone number, including area code    (502) 426-9984 ​ N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.) ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​ ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

​ ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ ​

Title of each Class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.001 per share

TXRH

Nasdaq Global Select Market

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.            ☐ ​ ​ ​

ITEM 2.02.  RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION

​ On November 6, 2025, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ​

ITEM 8.01. OTHER EVENTS

​ On November 5, 2025, the Company’s Board of Directors approved the payment of a quarterly cash dividend of $0.68 per share of common stock. This payment will be distributed on December 30, 2025, to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 2, 2025. ​

ITEM 9.01.  FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS

​ (d)         EXHIBITS ​

​ ​

99.1 Press Release issued by the Company on November 6, 2025.

104 Cover Page Interactive File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded in the Inline XBRL document)

​ The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K at Item 2.02 and the Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. Such information will not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement filed by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated by reference. ​ ​ ​

2

SIGNATURE

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. ​ ​

TEXAS ROADHOUSE, INC.

​ ​

​ ​

Date: November 6, 2025 By: /s/ Keith V. Humpich

​ ​ Keith V. Humpich

​ ​ Interim Chief Financial Officer

​ ​ ​ ​ ​

3

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 7, 2025

0001558370-25-010761

0001289460false00012894602025-08-062025-08-06 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549 ​

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)   August 6, 2025 ​

TEXAS ROADHOUSE, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​

Delaware

000-50972

20-1083890

(State or other jurisdiction

(Commission

(IRS Employer

of incorporation)

File Number)

Identification No.)

​ ​ ​

6040 Dutchmans Lane, Louisville, KY

40205

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

​ Registrant’s telephone number, including area code    (502) 426-9984 ​ N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.) ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​ ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

​ ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

​ ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ ​

Title of each Class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.001 per share

TXRH

Nasdaq Global Select Market

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.            ☐ ​ ​ ​

ITEM 2.02.  RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION

​ On August 7, 2025, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended July 1, 2025. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ​

ITEM 8.01. OTHER EVENTS

​ On August 6, 2025, the Company’s Board of Directors approved the payment of a quarterly cash dividend of $0.68 per share of common stock. This payment will be distributed on September 30, 2025, to shareholders of record at the close of business on September 2, 2025. ​

ITEM 9.01.  FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS

​ (d)         EXHIBITS ​

​ ​

99.1 Press Release issued by the Company on August 7, 2025.

104 Cover Page Interactive File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded in the Inline XBRL document)

​ The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K at Item 2.02 and the Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. Such information will not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement filed by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated by reference. ​ ​ ​

2

SIGNATURE

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. ​ ​

TEXAS ROADHOUSE, INC.

​ ​

​ ​

Date: August 7, 2025 By: /s/ Keith V. Humpich

​ ​ Keith V. Humpich

​ ​ Interim Chief Financial Officer

​ ​ ​ ​ ​

3

About Texas Roadhouse Inc. (TXRH) Earnings

This page provides Texas Roadhouse Inc. (TXRH) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on TXRH's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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