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AI Earnings Predictions for Origin Bancorp Inc. (OBK)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.12%

$41.19

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.55%

$42.18

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+8.47%

$44.18

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $40.73 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 28, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.12%

$41.19

Act: +4.52%

5D

+3.55%

$42.18

Act: +10.95%

20D

+8.47%

$44.18

Act: +5.72%

Price: $40.73 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001516912-26-000008

obnk-202601280001516912false00015169122026-01-282026-01-28

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) January 28, 2026

ORIGIN BANCORP, INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Louisiana001-3848772-1192928 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File No.)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

500 South Service Road East Ruston, Louisiana 71270

(Address of principal executive offices including zip code)

(318) 255-2222

(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $5.00 per shareOBKNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

ITEM 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On January 28, 2026, Origin Bancorp, Inc. (the "Company" or the "Registrant") issued a press release announcing its fourth quarter and full year 2025 results of operations. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, which is incorporated herein by reference. On Thursday, January 29, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. Central Time, the Company will host an investor conference call and webcast to review its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results. The webcast will include presentation materials, which consist of information regarding the Company's results of operations and financial performance. The presentation materials will be posted on the Company's website on January 28, 2026. The presentation materials are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, which is incorporated herein by reference. As provided in General Instructions B.2 to Form 8-K, the information furnished in Item 2.02, Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2 of this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and such information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

ITEM 8.01Other Events

On January 28, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing that the board of directors of the Company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per share of its common stock. The cash dividend will be paid on February 27, 2026, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on February 13, 2026. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.3, and incorporated herein by reference.

ITEM 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits (d)Exhibits. Exhibit 99.1Press release, dated January 28, 2026, announcing full year and fourth quarter 2025 earnings

Exhibit 99.2Presentation materials

Exhibit 99.3Press release, dated January 28, 2026, announcing quarterly dividend

Exhibit 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

Dated: January 28, 2026

ORIGIN BANCORP, INC.

By: /s/ William J. Wallace, IV

William J. Wallace, IV Senior Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 22, 2025

0001516912-25-000141

obnk-202510220001516912false00015169122025-10-222025-10-22

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) October 22, 2025

ORIGIN BANCORP, INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Louisiana001-3848772-1192928 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File No.)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

500 South Service Road East Ruston, Louisiana 71270

(Address of principal executive offices including zip code)

(318) 255-2222

(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $5.00 per shareOBKNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

ITEM 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On October 22, 2025, Origin Bancorp, Inc. (the "Company" or the "Registrant") issued a press release announcing its third quarter 2025 results of operations. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, which is incorporated herein by reference. On Thursday, October 23, 2025, at 8:00 a.m. Central Time, the Company will host an investor conference call and webcast to review its third quarter 2025 financial results. The webcast will include presentation materials, which consist of information regarding the Company's results of operations and financial performance. The presentation materials will be posted on the Company's website on October 22, 2025. The presentation materials are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, which is incorporated herein by reference. As provided in General Instructions B.2 to Form 8-K, the information furnished in Item 2.02, Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2 of this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and such information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

ITEM 8.01Other Events

On October 22, 2025, the Company issued a press release announcing that the board of directors of the Company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per share of its common stock. The cash dividend will be paid on November 28, 2025, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on November 14, 2025. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.3, and incorporated herein by reference.

ITEM 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits (d)Exhibits. Exhibit 99.1Press release, dated October 22, 2025, announcing third quarter 2025 earnings

Exhibit 99.2Presentation materials

Exhibit 99.3Press release, dated October 22, 2025, announcing quarterly dividend

Exhibit 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

Dated: October 22, 2025

ORIGIN BANCORP, INC.

By: /s/ William J. Wallace, IV

William J. Wallace, IV Senior Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 23, 2025

0001516912-25-000129

obnk-202507230001516912false00015169122025-07-232025-07-23

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) July 23, 2025

ORIGIN BANCORP, INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

Louisiana001-3848772-1192928 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File No.)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

500 South Service Road East Ruston, Louisiana 71270

(Address of principal executive offices including zip code)

(318) 255-2222

(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $5.00 per shareOBKNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

ITEM 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On July 23, 2025, Origin Bancorp, Inc. (the "Company" or the "Registrant") issued a press release announcing its second quarter 2025 results of operations. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, which is incorporated herein by reference. On Thursday, July 24, 2025, at 8:00 a.m. Central Time, the Company will host an investor conference call and webcast to review its second quarter 2025 financial results. The webcast will include presentation materials, which consist of information regarding the Company's results of operations and financial performance. The presentation materials will be posted on the Company's website on July 23, 2025. The presentation materials are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2, which is incorporated herein by reference. As provided in General Instructions B.2 to Form 8-K, the information furnished in Item 2.02, Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2 of this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and such information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

ITEM 8.01Other Events

On July 23, 2025, the Company issued a press release announcing that the board of directors of the Company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per share of its common stock. The cash dividend will be paid on August 29, 2025, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on August 15, 2025. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.3, and incorporated herein by reference.

ITEM 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits (d)Exhibits. Exhibit 99.1Press release, dated July 23, 2025, announcing second quarter 2025 earnings

Exhibit 99.2Presentation materials

Exhibit 99.3Press release, dated July 23, 2025, announcing quarterly dividend

Exhibit 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

Dated: July 23, 2025

ORIGIN BANCORP, INC.

By: /s/ William J. Wallace, IV

William J. Wallace, IV Senior Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer

About Origin Bancorp Inc. (OBK) Earnings

This page provides Origin Bancorp Inc. (OBK) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on OBK's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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