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AI Earnings Predictions for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. (NGVC)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+11.66%

$30.18

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+10.89%

$29.97

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+6.59%

$28.81

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $27.03 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+11.66%

$30.18

Act: -2.22%

5D

+10.89%

$29.97

Act: -4.33%

20D

+6.59%

$28.81

Act: -3.77%

Price: $27.03 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001437749-26-003198

ngvc20260203_8k.htm

false 0001547459

0001547459

2026-02-05 2026-02-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): February 5, 2026

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

001-35608

45-5034161

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

(Commission

File No.)

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

12612 West Alameda Parkway

Lakewood, Colorado 80228

(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

(303) 986-4600

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions:

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading symbol

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.001 par value

NGVC

New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02         Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 5, 2026, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1.

The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. Additionally, the information contained in this Item 2.02 or Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01         Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)         Exhibits.

Exhibit No.

Description

99.1

Press release of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. dated February 5, 2026 announcing financial results.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL).

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Dated: February 5, 2026

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

By:

/s/ Kemper Isely

Name:

Kemper Isely

Title:

Co-President

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 20, 2025

0001437749-25-035859

ngvc20251118_8k.htm

false 0001547459

0001547459

2025-11-20 2025-11-20

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): November 20, 2025

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

001-35608

45-5034161

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

(Commission

File No.)

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

12612 West Alameda Parkway

Lakewood, Colorado 80228

(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

(303) 986-4600

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions:

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading symbol

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.001 par value

NGVC

New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02

Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 20, 2025, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months and fiscal year ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1.

The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. Additionally, the information contained in this Item 2.02 or Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 7.01.

Regulation FD Disclosure.

The Company is also furnishing in this Current Report on Form 8-K its November 2025 investor presentation (the “Investor Presentation”) to be used by the Company at meetings with institutional investors or analysts. A copy of the Investor Presentation is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated into this Item 7.01 by reference. Exhibit 99.2 is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 8.01

Other Events.

On November 20, 2025, the Company announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per common share, increasing its quarterly cash dividend by 25%. The quarterly cash dividend will be paid on December 10, 2025 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on December 1, 2025.

Item 9.01

Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)         Exhibits.

Exhibit No.

Description

99.1

Press release of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. dated November 20, 2025 announcing financial results.

99.2

November 2025 Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Investor Presentation

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL).

2

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Dated: November 20, 2025

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

By:

/s/ Kemper Isely

Name:

Kemper Isely

Title:

Co-President

3

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 7, 2025

0001437749-25-025430

ngvc20250805_8k.htm

false 0001547459

0001547459

2025-08-07 2025-08-07

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): August 7, 2025

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

001-35608

45-5034161

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

(Commission

File No.)

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

12612 West Alameda Parkway

Lakewood, Colorado 80228

(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

(303) 986-4600

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions:

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading symbol

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.001 par value

NGVC

New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02

Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On August 7, 2025, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three and nine months ended June 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1.

The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. Additionally, the information contained in this Item 2.02 or Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 7.01.

Regulation FD Disclosure.

The Company is also furnishing in this Current Report on Form 8-K its August 2025 investor presentation (the “Investor Presentation”) to be used by the Company at meetings with institutional investors or analysts. A copy of the Investor Presentation is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated into this Item 7.01 by reference. Exhibit 99.2 is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01

Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)

Exhibits.

Exhibit No.

Description

99.1

Press release of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. dated August 7, 2025 announcing financial results.

99.2

August 2025 Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Investor Presentation

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL).

2

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Dated: August 7, 2025

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

By:

/s/ Kemper Isely

Name:

Kemper Isely

Title:

Co-President

3

About Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. (NGVC) Earnings

This page provides Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. (NGVC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on NGVC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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