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AI Earnings Predictions for Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-3.47%

$4.61

35% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.09%

$4.58

35% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-5.15%

$4.53

33% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $4.78 Confidence: 30.4% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 17, 2026 · 30% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.47%

$4.61

5D

-4.09%

$4.58

20D

-5.15%

$4.53

Price: $4.78 Prob +5D: 35% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-016387

8-K 1 tm266539d1_8k.htm

FORM 8-K

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 17, 2026

Mesa Royalty Trust

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Texas

1-7884

76-6284806

(State or other jurisdiction of

(Commission

(IRS Employer

incorporation )

File Number)

Identification No.)

The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A., Trustee

Global Corporate Trust

601 Travis Street, Floor 16

Houston, Texas

77002

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (713) 483-6020

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

¨   Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨   Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Units of Beneficial Interest MTR New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company   ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.   ¨

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 17, 2026 Mesa Royalty Trust issued a press release announcing Mesa Royalty Trust’s royalty income and income distribution for the month of February 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference.

Pursuant to General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K and Securities and Exchange Commission Release No. 33-8176, the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1 is not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, is not subject to the liabilities of that section and is not deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, but is instead furnished for purposes of that instruction.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits.

Exhibit

Description

99.1

Mesa Royalty Trust Press Release dated February 17, 2026.

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Mesa Royalty Trust

By: The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A., as

Trustee

Date: February 17, 2026 By: /s/ Elaina Rodgers

Elaina Rodgers

Vice President

3

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jan 20, 2026 · 30% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.47%

$4.61

5D

-4.09%

$4.58

20D

-5.15%

$4.53

Price: $4.78 Prob +5D: 35% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-005028

8-K 1 tm263465d1_8k.htm

FORM 8-K

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 20, 2026

Mesa Royalty Trust

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Texas

1-7884

76-6284806

(State or other jurisdiction of

(Commission

(IRS Employer

incorporation )

File Number)

Identification No.)

The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A., Trustee

Global Corporate Trust

601 Travis Street, Floor 16

Houston, Texas

77002

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (713) 483-6020

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

¨   Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨   Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Units of Beneficial Interest MTR New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company   ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.   ¨

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 20, 2026 Mesa Royalty Trust issued a press release announcing Mesa Royalty Trust’s royalty income and income distribution for the month of January 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference.

Pursuant to General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K and Securities and Exchange Commission Release No. 33-8176, the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1 is not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, is not subject to the liabilities of that section and is not deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, but is instead furnished for purposes of that instruction.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)             Exhibits.

Exhibit

Description

99.1

Mesa Royalty Trust Press Release dated January 20, 2026.

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Mesa Royalty Trust

By: The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A., as Trustee

Date: January 20, 2026 By: /s/ Elaina Rodgers

Elaina Rodgers

Vice President

3

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Dec 19, 2025

0001104659-25-123165

8-K 1 tm2533896d1_8k.htm

FORM 8-K

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): December 19, 2025

Mesa Royalty Trust

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Texas

1-7884

76-6284806

(State or other jurisdiction of

(Commission

(IRS Employer

incorporation )

File Number)

Identification No.)

The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A., Trustee

Global Corporate Trust

601 Travis Street, Floor 16

Houston, Texas

77002

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (713) 483-6020

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

¨   Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨   Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨   Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Units of Beneficial Interest MTR New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company   ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.   ¨

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On December 19, 2025 Mesa Royalty Trust issued a press release announcing Mesa Royalty Trust’s royalty income and income distribution for the month of December 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference.

Pursuant to General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K and Securities and Exchange Commission Release No. 33-8176, the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1 is not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, is not subject to the liabilities of that section and is not deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, but is instead furnished for purposes of that instruction.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)             Exhibits.

Exhibit

Description

99.1

Mesa Royalty Trust Press Release dated December 19, 2025.

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Mesa Royalty Trust

By: The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A., as Trustee

Date: December 19, 2025 By: /s/ Elaina Rodgers

Elaina Rodgers

Vice President

3

About Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) Earnings

This page provides Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MTR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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