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AI Earnings Predictions for Monroe Capital Corporation (MRCC)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.68%

$4.62

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.92%

$4.72

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+7.80%

$4.85

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $4.50 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q4 2025 BUY +2.68% +4.92% +7.80% 100.0% +7.78%
Q3 2025 SELL -1.59% -5.99% -5.69% 100.0% -5.50%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Mar 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.68%

$4.62

Act: -5.89%

5D

+4.92%

$4.72

Act: +7.78%

20D

+7.80%

$4.85

Price: $4.50 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001512931-26-000008

mrcc-20260305false000151293100015129312026-03-052026-03-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF

THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): March 5, 2026


Monroe Capital Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Maryland814-0086627-4895840 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

311 South Wacker Drive, Suite 6400, Chicago, IL 60606 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

(312) 258-8300 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

xWritten communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

oSoliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

oPre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

oPre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each ClassTrading Symbol(s)Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered Common Stock, par value $0.001 per shareMRCCThe Nasdaq Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2). Emerging growth company o If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

ITEM 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 5, 2026, Monroe Capital Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

ITEM 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure On March 5, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the declaration of a first quarter dividend of $0.09 per share, payable on March 31, 2026 to stockholders of record as of March 16, 2026. The information disclosed under this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made under the Securities Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

ITEM 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)Exhibits:

Exhibit No.Description 99.1 Press Release, dated March 5, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

MONROE CAPITAL CORPORATION

Dated: March 5, 2026By:/s/ Lewis W. Solimene, Jr. Name: Lewis W. Solimene, Jr. Title:Chief Financial Officer and Chief Investment Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Nov 5, 2025 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.59%

$6.80

Act: -4.49%

5D

-5.99%

$6.50

Act: -5.50%

20D

-5.69%

$6.52

Act: -4.49%

Price: $6.91 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001512931-25-000071

mrcc-20251105false000151293100015129312025-11-052025-11-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF

THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): November 5, 2025


Monroe Capital Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Maryland814-0086627-4895840 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

311 South Wacker Drive, Suite 6400, Chicago, IL 60606 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

(312) 258-8300 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

xWritten communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

oSoliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

oPre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

oPre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each ClassTrading Symbol(s)Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered Common Stock, par value $0.001 per shareMRCCThe Nasdaq Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2). Emerging growth company o If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

ITEM 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 5, 2025, Monroe Capital Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

ITEM 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)Exhibits:

Exhibit No.Description 99.1 Press Release, dated November 5, 2025

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

MONROE CAPITAL CORPORATION

Dated: November 5, 2025 By:/s/ Lewis W. Solimene, Jr. Name: Lewis W. Solimene, Jr. Title:Chief Financial Officer and Chief Investment Officer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 11, 2025

0001512931-25-000055

mrcc-20250811false000151293100015129312025-08-112025-08-11

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF

THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): August 11, 2025


Monroe Capital Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Maryland814-0086627-4895840 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

311 South Wacker Drive, Suite 6400, Chicago, IL 60606 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

(312) 258-8300 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

xWritten communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

oSoliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

oPre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

oPre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each ClassTrading Symbol(s)Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered Common Stock, par value $0.001 per shareMRCCThe Nasdaq Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2). Emerging growth company o If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

ITEM 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 11, 2025, Monroe Capital Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

ITEM 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)Exhibits:

Exhibit No.Description 99.1 Press Release, dated August 11, 2025

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

MONROE CAPITAL CORPORATION

Dated: August 11, 2025By:/s/ Lewis W. Solimene, Jr. Name: Lewis W. Solimene, Jr. Title:Chief Financial Officer and Chief Investment Officer

About Monroe Capital Corporation (MRCC) Earnings

This page provides Monroe Capital Corporation (MRCC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MRCC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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