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AI Earnings Predictions for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+0.49%

$188.50

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+5.72%

$198.31

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+3.41%

$193.98

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $187.58 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 3, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.49%

$188.50

5D

+5.72%

$198.31

20D

+3.41%

$193.98

Price: $187.58 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001510295-26-000003

mpc-202602030001510295false00015102952026-02-032026-02-03

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) February 3, 2026


Marathon Petroleum Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware 001-35054 27-1284632 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

539 South Main Street, Findlay, Ohio 45840 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (419) 422-2121


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTrading symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $.01MPCNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On February 3, 2026, Marathon Petroleum Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. Information in this Item 2.02 and Exhibit 99.1 of Item 9.01 below shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise incorporated by reference into any filing pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act except as otherwise expressly stated in such a filing.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number Description

99.1 Press Release issued by Marathon Petroleum Corporation on February 3, 2026 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Date: February 3, 2026By:/s/ Maria A. Khoury Name: Maria A. Khoury Title: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 4, 2025

0001510295-25-000059

mpc-202511040001510295false00015102952025-11-042025-11-04

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) November 4, 2025


Marathon Petroleum Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware 001-35054 27-1284632 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

539 South Main Street, Findlay, Ohio 45840 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (419) 422-2121


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTrading symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $.01MPCNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On November 4, 2025, Marathon Petroleum Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. Information in this Item 2.02 and Exhibit 99.1 of Item 9.01 below shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise incorporated by reference into any filing pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act except as otherwise expressly stated in such a filing.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number Description

99.1 Press Release issued by Marathon Petroleum Corporation on November 4, 2025 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Date: November 4, 2025By:/s/ John J. Quaid Name: John J. Quaid Title: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 5, 2025

0001510295-25-000052

mpc-202508050001510295false00015102952025-08-052025-08-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) August 5, 2025


Marathon Petroleum Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware 001-35054 27-1284632 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

539 South Main Street, Findlay, Ohio 45840 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (419) 422-2121


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTrading symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $.01MPCNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On August 5, 2025, Marathon Petroleum Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. Information in this Item 2.02 and Exhibit 99.1 of Item 9.01 below shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise incorporated by reference into any filing pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act except as otherwise expressly stated in such a filing.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number Description

99.1 Press Release issued by Marathon Petroleum Corporation on August 5, 2025 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Date: August 5, 2025By:/s/ John J. Quaid Name: John J. Quaid Title: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

About Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) Earnings

This page provides Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on MPC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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