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AI Earnings Predictions for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-6.89%

$8.19

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-9.12%

$7.99

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-10.94%

$7.83

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $8.79 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q4 2025 SELL -6.89% -9.12% -10.94% 100.0% Pending
Q3 2025 SELL -6.74% -8.01% -9.90% 100.0% -19.06%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Mar 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-6.89%

$8.19

Act: -27.91%

5D

-9.12%

$7.99

20D

-10.94%

$7.83

Price: $8.79 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001771515-26-000014

go-202603020001771515false00017715152026-03-022026-03-02

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date Earliest Event reported): March 2, 2026

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3895047-1874201 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 5650 Hollis Street, Emeryville, California 94608 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code) (510) 845-1999

(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, par value $0.001 per shareGONasdaq Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 4, 2026, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (the "Company") announced its financial results for the fiscal quarter and fiscal year ended January 3, 2026 ("fiscal 2025"). The full text of the press release issued by the Company is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The information in Item 2.02 of this current report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1 furnished herewith) shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Item 2.05 Costs Associated With Exit or Disposal Activities. To strengthen long-term profitability and cash flow generation, improve operational execution, optimize the Company's existing store footprint and align with the Company’s disciplined new store growth strategy, in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 the Company conducted a strategic, financial and operational analysis of its store fleet. Following that review, on March 2, 2026, the Company's Board of Directors adopted a business optimization plan (the "Optimization Plan") that provides for the closure of 36 financially underperforming stores ("Closure Stores"), including the termination or sublease of the applicable store leases; the termination or sublease of a lease for a distribution center facility that the Company is no longer utilizing (together with the store lease terminations and subleases, the "Lease Exits"); and the termination of operator agreements with independent operators for the Closure Stores as well as certain other store locations (the "Operator Agreement Terminations"). These actions under the Optimization Plan are expected to be substantially completed during fiscal 2026. In addition, preceding the adoption of the Optimization Plan, during the reporting process for the audited consolidated financial statements for fiscal 2025, the Company determined that the long-lived assets of the Closure Stores were impaired, and recognized $110 million of non-cash charges in Impairment of long-lived assets on the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (loss). The Company estimates that it will incur between $14 million and $25 million in net total restructuring charges in fiscal 2026 related to the Optimization Plan approved in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. Estimated restructuring charges expected to be incurred in connection with the Operator Agreement Terminations include bad debt expense of between $11 million and $14 million and cash expenses of between $2 million and $3 million. The Company intends to negotiate lease terminations with the landlords of the Closure Stores and one distribution center facility during fiscal 2026. If we are

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Nov 4, 2025 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-6.74%

$13.24

Act: -8.21%

5D

-8.01%

$13.06

Act: -19.06%

20D

-9.90%

$12.79

Act: -20.32%

Price: $14.20 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001771515-25-000166

go-202511040001771515false00017715152025-11-042025-11-04

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date Earliest Event reported): November 4, 2025

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3895047-1874201 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 5650 Hollis Street, Emeryville, California 94608 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code) (510) 845-1999

(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, par value $0.001 per shareGONasdaq Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2025, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (the "Company") announced its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended September 27, 2025. The full text of the press release issued by the Company is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The information in Item 2.02 of this current report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1 furnished herewith) shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.Description 99.1 Press release, dated November 4, 2025, entitled "Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Announces Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results."

104Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page interactive data file does not appear in the Interactive Data File because its XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document.

Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Date:November 4, 2025By:/s/ Christopher M. Miller

Name:Christopher M. Miller

Title:Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 5, 2025

0001771515-25-000138

go-202508050001771515false00017715152025-08-052025-08-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date Earliest Event reported): August 5, 2025

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3895047-1874201 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 5650 Hollis Street, Emeryville, California 94608 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code) (510) 845-1999

(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, par value $0.001 per shareGONasdaq Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2025, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (the "Company") announced its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended June 28, 2025. The full text of the press release issued by the Company is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The information in Item 2.02 of this current report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1 furnished herewith) shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.Description 99.1 Press release, dated August 5, 2025, entitled "Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Announces Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results."

104Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page interactive data file does not appear in the Interactive Data File because its XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document.

Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Date:August 5, 2025By:/s/ Christopher M. Miller

Name:Christopher M. Miller

Title:Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

About Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Earnings

This page provides Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on GO's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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