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AI Earnings Predictions for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-9.52%

$35.26

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-10.81%

$34.75

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-8.41%

$35.69

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $38.97 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 3, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-9.52%

$35.26

Act: +2.37%

5D

-10.81%

$34.75

Act: -1.35%

20D

-8.41%

$35.69

Act: -5.79%

Price: $38.97 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001058090-26-000007

cmg-202602030001058090FALSE00010580902026-02-032026-02-03

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 3, 2026

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) 1-32731 (Commission File Number) 84-1219301 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

610 Newport Center Drive, Suite 1100 Newport Beach, CA 92660 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (949) 524-4000 Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareCMGNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 3, 2026, we issued a press release announcing earnings and other financial results for our fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, and that management would review these results in a conference call at 4:30 pm Eastern time on February 3, 2026.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Exhibit Index

Exhibit NumberExhibit Description 99.1Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Press Release, dated February 3, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

February 3, 2026 By:/s/ Matthew R. Bush

Name: Matthew Bush

Title: Vice President, Controller

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 29, 2025

0001058090-25-000086

cmg-202510290001058090FALSE00010580902025-10-292025-10-29

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 29, 2025

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) 1-32731 (Commission File Number) 84-1219301 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

610 Newport Center Drive, Suite 1100 Newport Beach, CA 92660 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (949) 524-4000 Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareCMGNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2025, we issued a press release announcing earnings and other financial results for our fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2025, and that management would review these results in a conference call at 4:30 pm Eastern time on October 29, 2025.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Exhibit Index

Exhibit NumberExhibit Description 99.1Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Press Release, dated October 29, 2025

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

October 29, 2025 By:/s/ Matthew R. Bush

Name: Matthew Bush

Title: Vice President, Controller

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 23, 2025

0001058090-25-000055

cmg-202507230001058090FALSE00010580902025-07-232025-07-23

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 23, 2025

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) 1-32731 (Commission File Number) 84-1219301 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

610 Newport Center Drive, Suite 1100 Newport Beach, CA 92660 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (949) 524-4000 Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareCMGNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 23, 2025, we issued a press release announcing earnings and other financial results for our fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2025, and that management would review these results in a conference call at 4:30 pm Eastern time on July 23, 2025.

Item 8.01 Other Events. On July 23, 2025, we announced that our Board of Directors has authorized repurchases of common stock with a total aggregate purchase price of $400 million, exclusive of commissions. This repurchase authorization is in addition to previously announced repurchase authorizations. The repurchase program may be modified, suspended, or discontinued at any time.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Exhibit Index

Exhibit NumberExhibit Description 99.1Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Press Release, dated July 23, 2025

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

July 23, 2025 By:/s/ Jamie McConnell

Name: Jamie McConnell

Title: Chief Accounting and Administrative Officer

About Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) Earnings

This page provides Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CMG's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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