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AI Earnings Predictions for CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.01%

$97.74

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+5.64%

$101.23

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+10.14%

$105.53

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $95.82 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 18, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.01%

$97.74

5D

+5.64%

$101.23

20D

+10.14%

$105.53

Price: $95.82 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-017110

false 0001324404

0001324404

2026-02-18 2026-02-18

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND

EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 18, 2026

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

001-32597

20-2697511

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS

Employer

Identification No.)

2375 Waterview Drive Northbrook, Illinois

60062

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (847) 405-2400

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

¨Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

common stock, par value $0.01 per share

CF

New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ¨

Item 2.02.Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 19, 2026, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. will host a conference call discussing its results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025, at which the presentation attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 will be used.

The information set forth herein, including the exhibit attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filing.

Item 9.01.Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)       Exhibits.

Exhibit No.

Description of Exhibit

99.1

Presentation of CF Industries Holdings,

Inc. dated February 18, 2026

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: February 18, 2026

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.

By: /s/ Richard A. Hoker

Name: Richard A. Hoker

Title: Vice President and Corporate Controller and Interim Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 18, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.01%

$97.74

5D

+5.64%

$101.23

20D

+10.14%

$105.53

Price: $95.82 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001324404-26-000003

cf-202602180001324404false00013244042026-02-182026-02-18

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934


Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 18, 2026 CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3259720-2697511 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

2375 Waterview Drive60062 Northbrook,Illinois(Zip Code) (Address of principal executive offices)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (847) 405-2400 (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered common stock, par value $0.01 per shareCFNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company    ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02.    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 18, 2026, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.

The information set forth herein, including the exhibit attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filing.

Item 9.01.    Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)    Exhibits.

Exhibit No.Description of Exhibit 99.1 Press release dated February 18, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date:February 18, 2026CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.

By: /s/ Richard A. Hoker Name:Richard A. Hoker Title:Vice President and Corporate Controller and Interim Chief Financial Officer

3

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 5, 2025

0001104659-25-107103

false 0001324404

0001324404

2025-11-05 2025-11-05

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND

EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 5, 2025

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

001-32597

20-2697511

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS.

Employer

Identification No.)

2375 Waterview Drive Northbrook, Illinois

60062

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (847) 405-2400

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

¨Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

common stock, par value $0.01 per share

CF

New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ¨

Item 2.02.Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 6, 2025, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. will host a conference call discussing its results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, at which the presentation attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 will be used.

The information set forth herein, including the exhibit attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filing.

Item 9.01.Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)       Exhibits.

Exhibit No. Description of Exhibit

99.1

Presentation of CF Industries Holdings,

Inc. dated November 5, 2025

104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: November 5, 2025

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.

By: /s/ Gregory D. Cameron

Name: Gregory D. Cameron

Title: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

3

About CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) Earnings

This page provides CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CF's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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