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AI Earnings Predictions for Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-1.93%

$19.62

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-3.28%

$19.35

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-4.14%

$19.18

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $20.01 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 11, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.93%

$19.62

5D

-3.28%

$19.35

20D

-4.14%

$19.18

Price: $20.01 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001061630-26-000011

bxmt-202602110001061630FALSE00010616302026-02-112026-02-11

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 11, 2026 Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Maryland 1-14788 94-6181186 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

345 Park Avenue New York, New York 10154 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (212) 655-0220 Not Applicable (Former Name or Address, if Changed Since Last Report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class     Trading symbol(s)     Name of each exchange on which registered Class A common stock, par value $0.01 per share BXMT New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company    ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.    ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 11, 2026, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release and detailed presentation announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. The press release and full detailed presentation are furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, to this Current Report on Form 8-K and are incorporated herein by reference.

In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information contained under Item 2.02 in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and will not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)Exhibits

Exhibit No.            Description

99.1    Press Release of Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. dated February 11, 2026.

99.2    Presentation of Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. dated February 11, 2026.

104    Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, INC.

Date: February 11, 2026

By:/s/ Anthony F. Marone, Jr. Name:Anthony F. Marone, Jr. Title:Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 29, 2025

0001061630-25-000130

bxmt-202510290001061630FALSE00010616302025-10-292025-10-29

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 29, 2025 Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Maryland 1-14788 94-6181186 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

345 Park Avenue, 24th Floor New York, New York 10154 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (212) 655-0220 Not Applicable (Former Name or Address, if Changed Since Last Report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class     Trading symbol(s)     Name of each exchange on which registered Class A common stock, par value $0.01 per share BXMT New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company    ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.    ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 29, 2025, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release and detailed presentation announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The press release and full detailed presentation are furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, to this Current Report on Form 8-K and are incorporated herein by reference.

In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information contained under Item 2.02 in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and will not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)Exhibits

Exhibit No.            Description

99.1    Press Release of Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. dated October 29, 2025.

99.2    Presentation of Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. dated October 29, 2025.

104    Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, INC.

Date: October 29, 2025

By:/s/ Anthony F. Marone, Jr. Name:Anthony F. Marone, Jr. Title:Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 30, 2025

0001061630-25-000103

bxmt-202507300001061630FALSE00010616302025-07-302025-07-30

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 30, 2025 Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Maryland 1-14788 94-6181186 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

345 Park Avenue, 24th Floor New York, New York 10154 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (212) 655-0220 Not Applicable (Former Name or Address, if Changed Since Last Report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class     Trading symbol(s)     Name of each exchange on which registered Class A common stock, par value $0.01 per share BXMT New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company    ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.    ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On July 30, 2025, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release and detailed presentation announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025. The press release and full detailed presentation are furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, to this Current Report on Form 8-K and are incorporated herein by reference.

In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information contained under Item 2.02 in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and will not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)Exhibits

Exhibit No.            Description

99.1    Press Release of Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. dated July 30, 2025.

99.2    Presentation of Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. dated July 30, 2025.

104    Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, INC.

Date: July 30, 2025

By:/s/ Anthony F. Marone, Jr. Name:Anthony F. Marone, Jr. Title:Chief Financial Officer

About Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) Earnings

This page provides Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on BXMT's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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