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AI Earnings Predictions for TopBuild Corp. (BLD)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-3.91%

$449.66

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-5.63%

$441.63

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-3.30%

$452.54

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $467.98 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 26, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.91%

$449.66

Act: -4.47%

5D

-5.63%

$441.63

Act: -12.76%

20D

-3.30%

$452.54

Price: $467.98 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-020046

TopBuild Corp_February 26, 2026 0001633931false00016339312026-02-262026-02-26 ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

​ ​

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): February 26, 2026 ​ ​ TopBuild Corp. ​ (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​ ​

Delaware ​ 001-36870 ​ 47-3096382

(State or other Jurisdiction of ​ (Commission ​ (IRS Employer

Incorporation) ​ File Number) ​ Identification No.)

​ ​

475 North Williamson Boulevard Daytona Beach, Florida ​ 32114

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) ​ (Zip Code)

​ Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (386) 304-2200 ​ ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​ ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) ​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ ​

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per share BLD New York Stock Exchange

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​

​ ​

Item 2.02.  Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ On February 26, 2026, TopBuild Corp., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025 (the “Press Release”).  The Press Release, which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1, and the information included in Item 7.01 of this Current Report on Form 8-K (this “Report”) are incorporated by reference in this Item 2.02. ​ The information in the Press Release and in this Item 2.02 is “furnished” and not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section.  Such information shall not be incorporated by reference in another filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), except to the extent such other filing specifically incorporates such information by reference. ​ Item 7.01.  Regulation FD Disclosure. ​ On February 26, 2026, the Company issued the Press Release.  The Press Release, which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1, and the information included in Item 2.02 of this Report are incorporated by reference in this Item 7.01. ​ The information in the Press Release and in this Item 7.01 is “furnished” and not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section.  Such information shall not be incorporated by reference in another filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act except to the extent such other filing specifically incorporates such information by reference. ​ Item 9.01.  Financial Statements and Exhibits. ​ (d)  Exhibits ​

Exhibit Number ​ ​ ​ Description

99.1 ​ Press release issued by TopBuild Corp., dated February 26, 2026, announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025.

​ ​ ​

104 ​ Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL)

​ ​

2 ​

SIGNATURES

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ​

TOPBUILD CORP.

​ By: /s/ Madeline Otero

Name: Madeline Otero

Title: Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer (Principal Accounting Officer)

Dated: February 26, 2026

​ ​ ​

3 ​

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 4, 2025

0001104659-25-105890

TopBuild Corp_November 4, 2025 0001633931false00016339312025-11-042025-11-04 ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

​ ​

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): November 4, 2025 ​ ​ TopBuild Corp. ​ (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​ ​

Delaware ​ 001-36870 ​ 47-3096382

(State or other Jurisdiction of ​ (Commission ​ (IRS Employer

Incorporation) ​ File Number) ​ Identification No.)

​ ​

475 North Williamson Boulevard Daytona Beach, Florida ​ 32114

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) ​ (Zip Code)

​ Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (386) 304-2200 ​ ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​ ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) ​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ ​

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per share BLD New York Stock Exchange

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​

​ ​

Item 2.02.  Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ On November 4, 2025, TopBuild Corp., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025 (the “Press Release”).  The Press Release, which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1, and the information included in Item 7.01 of this Current Report on Form 8-K (this “Report”) are incorporated by reference in this Item 2.02. ​ The information in the Press Release and in this Item 2.02 is “furnished” and not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section.  Such information shall not be incorporated by reference in another filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), except to the extent such other filing specifically incorporates such information by reference. ​ Item 7.01.  Regulation FD Disclosure. ​ On November 4, 2025, the Company issued the Press Release.  The Press Release, which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1, and the information included in Item 2.02 of this Report are incorporated by reference in this Item 7.01. ​ The information in the Press Release and in this Item 7.01 is “furnished” and not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section.  Such information shall not be incorporated by reference in another filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act except to the extent such other filing specifically incorporates such information by reference. ​ Item 9.01.  Financial Statements and Exhibits. ​ (d)  Exhibits ​

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1 ​ Press release issued by TopBuild Corp., dated November 4, 2025, announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.

​ ​ ​

104 ​ Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL)

​ ​

2 ​

SIGNATURES

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ​

TOPBUILD CORP.

​ By: /s/ Madeline Otero

Name: Madeline Otero

Title: Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer (Principal Accounting Officer)

Dated: November 4, 2025

​ ​ ​

3 ​

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 5, 2025

0001558370-25-010172

0001633931false00016339312025-08-052025-08-05 ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

​ ​

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ​ Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): August 5, 2025 ​ ​ TopBuild Corp. ​ (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​ ​

Delaware ​ 001-36870 ​ 47-3096382

(State or other Jurisdiction of ​ (Commission ​ (IRS Employer

Incorporation) ​ File Number) ​ Identification No.)

​ ​

475 North Williamson Boulevard Daytona Beach, Florida ​ 32114

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) ​ (Zip Code)

​ Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (386) 304-2200 ​ ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ​ ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) ​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​ ​

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per share BLD New York Stock Exchange

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​

​ ​

Item 2.02.  Results of Operations and Financial Condition. ​ On August 5, 2025, TopBuild Corp., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025 (the “Press Release”).  The Press Release, which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1, and the information included in Item 7.01 of this Current Report on Form 8-K (this “Report”) are incorporated by reference in this Item 2.02. ​ The information in the Press Release and in this Item 2.02 is “furnished” and not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section.  Such information shall not be incorporated by reference in another filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), except to the extent such other filing specifically incorporates such information by reference. ​ Item 7.01.  Regulation FD Disclosure. ​ On June 30, 2025, the Company issued the Press Release.  The Press Release, which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1, and the information included in Item 2.02 of this Report are incorporated by reference in this Item 7.01. ​ The information in the Press Release and in this Item 7.01 is “furnished” and not “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section.  Such information shall not be incorporated by reference in another filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act except to the extent such other filing specifically incorporates such information by reference. ​ Item 9.01.  Financial Statements and Exhibits. ​ (d)  Exhibits ​

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1 ​ Press release issued by TopBuild Corp., dated August 5, 2025, announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025.

​ ​ ​

104 ​ Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL)

​ ​

2 ​

SIGNATURES

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ​

TOPBUILD CORP.

​ By: /s/ Madeline Otero

Name: Madeline Otero

Title: Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer (Principal Accounting Officer)

Dated: August 5, 2025

​ ​ ​

3 ​

About TopBuild Corp. (BLD) Earnings

This page provides TopBuild Corp. (BLD) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on BLD's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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