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AI Earnings Predictions for Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+11.69%

$7.55

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+11.39%

$7.53

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+10.50%

$7.47

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $6.76 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 19, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+11.69%

$7.55

Act: -15.24%

5D

+11.39%

$7.53

Act: -1.92%

20D

+10.50%

$7.47

Price: $6.76 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001437402-26-000012

ardx-202602190001437402false00014374022026-02-192026-02-19

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 19, 2026

ARDELYX, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3648526-1303944 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification Number)

400 FIFTH AVE., SUITE 210, WALTHAM, MASSACHUSETTS 02451

(Address of principal executive offices, including Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (510) 745-1700

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per shareARDXThe Nasdaq Global Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company  ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  o

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 19, 2026, Ardelyx, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be considered “filed” under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be incorporated by reference into any future filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or under the Exchange Act, unless the Company expressly sets forth in such future filing that such information is to be considered “filed” or incorporated by reference therein.

Item 7.01    Regulation FD Disclosure.

On February 19, 2026, the Company will host a conference call to discuss its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the earnings presentation that will be used during this conference call is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished under this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.2 hereto, shall not be considered “filed” under the Exchange Act nor shall it be incorporated by reference into any future filing under the Securities Act, or under the Exchange Act, unless the Company expressly sets forth in such future filing that such information is to be considered “filed” or incorporated by reference therein.

Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No. Description 99.1Press Release of Ardelyx, Inc.

99.2Earnings Presentation of Ardelyx, Inc.

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: February 19, 2026ARDELYX, INC.

By:/s/ Susan Hohenleitner Susan Hohenleitner Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 8, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+11.69%

$7.55

Act: -15.24%

5D

+11.39%

$7.53

Act: -1.92%

20D

+10.50%

$7.47

Price: $6.76 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001437402-26-000003

ardx-202601080001437402false00014374022026-01-082026-01-08

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 8, 2026

ARDELYX, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3648526-1303944 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification Number)

400 FIFTH AVE., SUITE 210, WALTHAM, MASSACHUSETTS 02451

(Address of principal executive offices, including Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (510) 745-1700

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per shareARDXThe Nasdaq Global Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company  ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  o

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 8, 2026, Ardelyx, Inc. (the “Company”) announced:

•Unaudited U.S. net product sales revenue of IBSRELA® (tenapanor) of approximately $87 million for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, and approximately $274 million for the full year ended December 31, 2025. •Unaudited U.S. net product sales revenue of XPHOZAH® (tenapanor) of approximately $28 million for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, and approximately $104 million for the full year ended December 31, 2025.

The Company also announced that as of December 31, 2025, it had cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments of approximately $265 million, unaudited.

These amounts are preliminary and are subject to adjustment in connection with preparation of audited financial statements. As a result, these amounts may differ materially from the amounts that will be reflected in the Company’s financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025.

The preliminary financial data included in this Current Report on Form 8-K has been prepared by, and is the responsibility of, the Company’s management. Ernst & Young LLP has not audited, reviewed, examined, compiled, nor applied agreed-upon procedures with respect to the preliminary financial data. Accordingly, Ernst & Young LLP does not express an opinion or any other form of assurance with respect thereto.

Item 8.01    Other Events. The information set forth in Item 2.02 is incorporated into this Item 8.01 by reference.

Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.Description 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: January 8, 2026ARDELYX, INC.

By:/s/ Susan Hohenleitner Susan Hohenleitner Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 30, 2025

0001437402-25-000016

ardx-202510300001437402false00014374022025-10-302025-10-30

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 30, 2025

ARDELYX, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3648526-1303944 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification Number)

400 FIFTH AVE., SUITE 210, WALTHAM, MASSACHUSETTS 02451

(Address of principal executive offices, including Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (510) 745-1700

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.0001ARDXThe Nasdaq Global Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company  ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  o

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 30, 2025, Ardelyx, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished under this Item 2.02 shall not be considered “filed” under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be incorporated by reference into any future filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, unless the Company expressly sets forth in such future filing that such information is to be considered “filed” or incorporated by reference therein.

Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No. Description 99.1Press release of Ardelyx, Inc.

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: October 30, 2025ARDELYX, INC.

By:/s/ Justin Renz Justin Renz Chief Financial and Operations Officer

About Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) Earnings

This page provides Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ARDX's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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