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AI Earnings Predictions for Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+0.36%

$19.63

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+0.72%

$19.70

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+2.76%

$20.10

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $19.56 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.36%

$19.63

Act: -3.94%

5D

+0.72%

$19.70

Act: +1.79%

20D

+2.76%

$20.10

Act: -2.86%

Price: $19.56 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001287750-26-000004

arcc-202602040001287750FALSE00012877502026-02-042026-02-04

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) February 4, 2026

ARES CAPITAL CORPORATION

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Maryland 814-00663 33-1089684 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

245 Park Avenue, 44th Floor, New York, NY 10167 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (212) 750-7300

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

o  Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

o  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

o  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

o  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading symbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, $0.001 par valueARCCNASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company o

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 4, 2026, the registrant issued a press release, included herewith as Exhibit 99.1, announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025.

The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made under the Securities Act of 1933, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 8.01  Other Events.

On February 4, 2026, the registrant announced the declaration of a first quarter 2026 dividend of $0.48 per share, payable on March 31, 2026 to stockholders of record as of March 13, 2026.

Item 9.01  Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)                               Exhibits:

Exhibit Number Description

99.1 Press Release, dated February 4, 2026 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

ARES CAPITAL CORPORATION

Date: February 4, 2026

By:/s/ SCOTT C. LEM Name:Scott C. Lem Title:Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 28, 2025

0001287750-25-000044

arcc-202510280001287750FALSE00012877502025-10-282025-10-28

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) October 28, 2025

ARES CAPITAL CORPORATION

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Maryland 814-00663 33-1089684 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

245 Park Avenue, 44th Floor, New York, NY 10167 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (212) 750-7300

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

o  Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

o  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

o  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

o  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading symbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, $0.001 par valueARCCNASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company o

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 28, 2025, the registrant issued a press release, included herewith as Exhibit 99.1, announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.

The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made under the Securities Act of 1933, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 8.01  Other Events.

On October 28, 2025, the registrant announced the declaration of a fourth quarter 2025 dividend of $0.48 per share, payable on December 30, 2025 to stockholders of record as of December 15, 2025.

Item 9.01  Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)                               Exhibits:

Exhibit Number Description

99.1 Press Release, dated October 28, 2025 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

ARES CAPITAL CORPORATION

Date: October 28, 2025

By:/s/ SCOTT C. LEM Name:Scott C. Lem Title:Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 29, 2025

0001287750-25-000036

arcc-202507290001287750FALSE00012877502025-07-292025-07-29

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) July 29, 2025

ARES CAPITAL CORPORATION

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Maryland 814-00663 33-1089684 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

245 Park Avenue, 44th Floor, New York, NY 10167 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (212) 750-7300

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

o  Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

o  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

o  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

o  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading symbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, $0.001 par valueARCCNASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company o

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On July 29, 2025, the registrant issued a press release, included herewith as Exhibit 99.1, announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025.

The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made under the Securities Act of 1933, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 8.01  Other Events.

On July 29, 2025, the registrant announced the declaration of a third quarter 2025 dividend of $0.48 per share, payable on September 30, 2025 to stockholders of record as of September 15, 2025.

Item 9.01  Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)                               Exhibits:

Exhibit Number Description

99.1 Press Release, dated July 29, 2025 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

ARES CAPITAL CORPORATION

Date: July 29, 2025

By:/s/ SCOTT C. LEM Name:Scott C. Lem Title:Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

About Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) Earnings

This page provides Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ARCC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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