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AI Earnings Predictions for Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.26%

$49.83

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+5.67%

$52.00

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+7.58%

$52.94

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $49.21 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 22, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.26%

$49.83

5D

+5.67%

$52.00

20D

+7.58%

$52.94

Price: $49.21 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000766421-26-000007

alk-202601220000766421false00007664212025-01-222025-01-22

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT

TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

January 22, 2026 (Date of earliest event reported)

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) 1-895791-1292054 (Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

19300 International BoulevardSeattleWashington98188 (Address of Principal Executive Offices)(Zip Code)

(206) 392-5040 (Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code) (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐      Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐      Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTicker SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, $0.01 par value ALKNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2).

☐ Emerging growth company

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

This document is also available on our website at http://investor.alaskaair.com.

ITEM 2.02.  Results of Operations And Financial Condition

On January 22, 2026 Alaska Air Group, Inc. (Air Group) issued a press release and certain supplemental materials reporting financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2025.

ITEM 7.01.  Regulation FD Disclosure

Pursuant to 17 CFR Part 243 (Regulation FD), the Company is submitting information relating to its financial and operational outlook in a press release as well as supplemental materials. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1. Supplemental information is attached as Exhibit 99.2. An investor update is attached as Exhibit 99.3.

In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information under this item shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. This report will not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information required to be disclosed solely to satisfy the requirements of Regulation FD.

ITEM 9.01  Financial Statements and Other Exhibits Exhibit 99.1 Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Press Release dated January 22, 2026 Exhibit 99.2 Supplemental Earnings Materials Exhibit 99.3 Investor Update dated January 22, 2026 104Cover Page Interactive Data File - embedded within the Inline XBRL Document

Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

Registrant

Date: January 22, 2026

/s/ EMILY HALVERSON Emily Halverson Vice President Finance and Controller

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 24, 2025

0000766421-25-000049

alk-202510230000766421false00007664212025-10-232025-10-23

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT

TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

October 23, 2025 (Date of earliest event reported)

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) 1-895791-1292054 (Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

19300 International BoulevardSeattleWashington98188 (Address of Principal Executive Offices)(Zip Code)

(206) 392-5040 (Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code) (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐      Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐      Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTicker SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, $0.01 par value ALKNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2).

☐ Emerging growth company

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

This document is also available on our website at http://investor.alaskaair.com

ITEM 2.02. Results of Operations And Financial Condition

On October 23, 2025, Alaska Air Group, Inc. (Air Group) issued a press release and certain supplemental materials reporting financial results for the third quarter of 2025. The press release is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.1. Supplemental information is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.2.

ITEM 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure

Pursuant to 17 CFR Part 243 (Regulation FD), the Company is submitting information relating to its financial and operational outlook in a press release as well as supplemental materials.

In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information under this item shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. This report will not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information required to be disclosed solely to satisfy the requirements of Regulation FD.

ITEM 9.01.  Financial Statements and Other Exhibits

Exhibit 99.1 Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Press Release dated October 23, 2025 Exhibit 99.2 Supplemental Earnings Materials 104Cover Page Interactive Data File - embedded within the Inline XBRL Document

Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

Registrant

Date: October 23, 2025

/s/ EMILY HALVERSON Emily Halverson Vice President Finance, Controller, and Treasurer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 23, 2025

0000766421-25-000026

alk-202507230000766421false00007664212025-07-232025-07-23

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT

TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

July 23, 2025 (Date of earliest event reported)

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) 1-895791-1292054 (Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

19300 International BoulevardSeattleWashington98188 (Address of Principal Executive Offices)(Zip Code)

(206) 392-5040 (Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code) (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐      Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐      Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTicker SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, $0.01 par value ALKNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2).

☐ Emerging growth company

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

This document is also available on our website at http://investor.alaskaair.com

ITEM 2.02. Results of Operations And Financial Condition

On July 23, 2025, Alaska Air Group, Inc. (Air Group) issued a press release and certain supplemental materials reporting financial results for the second quarter of 2025. The press release is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.1. Supplemental information is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.2.

ITEM 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure

Pursuant to 17 CFR Part 243 (Regulation FD), the Company is submitting information relating to its financial and operational outlook in a press release as well as supplemental materials.

In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information under this item shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. This report will not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information required to be disclosed solely to satisfy the requirements of Regulation FD.

ITEM 9.01.  Financial Statements and Other Exhibits

Exhibit 99.1 Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Press Release dated July 23, 2025 Exhibit 99.2 Supplemental Earnings Materials 104Cover Page Interactive Data File - embedded within the Inline XBRL Document

Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.

Registrant

Date: July 23, 2025

/s/ EMILY HALVERSON Emily Halverson Vice President Finance, Controller, and Treasurer

About Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK) Earnings

This page provides Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ALK's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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