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AI Earnings Predictions for Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

HOLD

1-Day Prediction

-3.88%

$95.99

46% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-8.33%

$91.54

46% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-10.70%

$89.17

44% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $99.86 Confidence: 7.6% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K HOLD

Feb 4, 2026 · 8% conf.

AI Prediction HOLD

1D

-3.88%

$95.99

Act: -0.44%

5D

-8.33%

$91.54

Act: +9.48%

20D

-10.70%

$89.17

Act: -15.75%

Price: $99.86 Prob +5D: 46% AUC: 1.000
0001362468-26-000004

algt-202602040001362468falseLas VegasNV00013624682026-02-042026-02-04

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 4, 2026

Allegiant Travel Company (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Nevada001-3316620-4745737 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

1201 North Town Center Drive Las Vegas, NV 89144 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:              (702) 851-7300

N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐  Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, par value $0.001

ALGT

NASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (Section 17 CFR §230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Section 17 CFR §240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Section 2    Financial Information

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 4, 2026, Allegiant Travel Company (the “Company”) issued the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K concerning our results of operations for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025.

The information in Section 2 of this Current Report on Form 8-K and in Exhibit 99.1 is deemed to be furnished and is not to be considered to be “filed” with the Securities and Exchange Commission. As such, this information shall not be incorporated by reference into any of our reports or other filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures: Both the press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2 contain non-GAAP financial measures as such term is defined in Regulation G under the rules of the Securities and Exchange Commission. While the Company believes these financial measures are useful in evaluating the Company’s performance, this information should be considered to be supplemental in nature and not as a substitute for or superior to the related financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP. Further, these non-GAAP financial measures may differ from similarly titled measures presented by other companies.

Forward-Looking Statements: Under the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, statements in the press release filed as Exhibit 99.1 and statements in the 4Q25 Earnings Call Slides furnished as Exhibit 99.2 that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are only estimates or predictions based on our management's beliefs and assumptions and on information currently available to our management. Forward-looking statements include our statements regarding the announced merger with Sun Country Airlines, future airline operations, revenue, expenses and earnings, available seat mile growth, expected capital expenditures, the cost of fuel, the timing of aircraft acquisitions and retirements, the number of contracted aircraft to be placed in service in the future, our ability to consummate announced aircraft transactions, as well as other information concerning future results of operations, business strategies, financing plans, competitive position, industry environment, and potential growth opportunities. Forward-looking statements include all statements that are not historical facts and can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as the words "believe," "expect," “guidance,” "anticipate," "intend," "plan," "estimate," “project”, “hope” or similar expressions.

Forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Important risk fact

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 4, 2025

0001362468-25-000051

algt-202511010001362468falseLas VegasNV00013624682025-11-012025-11-01

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 1, 2025

Allegiant Travel Company (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Nevada001-3316620-4745737 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

1201 North Town Center Drive Las Vegas, NV 89144 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:              (702) 851-7300

N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐  Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, par value $0.001

ALGT

NASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (Section 17 CFR §230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Section 17 CFR §240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Section 2    Financial Information

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 4, 2025, Allegiant Travel Company (the “Company”) issued the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K concerning our results of operations for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.

The information in Section 2 of this Current Report on Form 8-K and in Exhibit 99.1 is deemed to be furnished and is not to be considered to be “filed” with the Securities and Exchange Commission. As such, this information shall not be incorporated by reference into any of our reports or other filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures: Both the press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2 contain non-GAAP financial measures as such term is defined in Regulation G under the rules of the Securities and Exchange Commission. While the Company believes these financial measures are useful in evaluating the Company’s performance, this information should be considered to be supplemental in nature and not as a substitute for or superior to the related financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP. Further, these non-GAAP financial measures may differ from similarly titled measures presented by other companies.

Forward-Looking Statements: Under the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, statements in the press release filed as Exhibit 99.1 and statements in the 3Q25 Earnings Call Slides furnished as Exhibit 99.2 that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are only estimates or predictions based on our management's beliefs and assumptions and on information currently available to our management. Forward-looking statements include our statements regarding future airline operations, revenue, expenses and earnings, available seat mile growth, expected capital expenditures, the cost of fuel, the timing of aircraft acquisitions and retirements, the number of contracted aircraft to be placed in service in the future, our ability to consummate announced aircraft transactions, as well as other information concerning future results of operations, business strategies, financing plans, competitive position, industry environment, and potential growth opportunities. Forward-looking statements include all statements that are not historical facts and can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as the words "believe," "expect," “guidance,” "anticipate," "intend," "plan," "estimate," “project”, “hope” or similar expressions.

Forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Important risk factors that could cause our results to differ materially fr

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 4, 2025

0001362468-25-000040

algt-202508040001362468falseLas VegasNV00013624682025-08-042025-08-04

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): August 4, 2025

Allegiant Travel Company (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Nevada001-3316620-4745737 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

1201 North Town Center Drive Las Vegas, NV 89144 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:              (702) 851-7300

N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐  Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stock, par value $0.001

ALGT

NASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (Section 17 CFR §230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Section 17 CFR §240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Section 2    Financial Information

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On August 4, 2025, Allegiant Travel Company (the “Company”) issued the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K concerning our results of operations for the quarter ended June 30, 2025.

This information is being furnished under Item 2.02 of Form 8-K. This report and Exhibit 99.1 are deemed to be furnished and are not considered “filed” with the Securities and Exchange Commission. As such, this information shall not be incorporated by reference into any of our reports or other filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures: The press release contains non-GAAP financial measures as such term is defined in Regulation G under the rules of the Securities and Exchange Commission. While the Company believes these financial measures are useful in evaluating the Company’s performance, this information should be considered to be supplemental in nature and not as a substitute for or superior to the related financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP. Further, these non-GAAP financial measures may differ from similarly titled measures presented by other companies.

Forward-Looking Statements: Under the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, statements in the press release filed as Exhibit 99.1 and statements in the 2Q25 Earnings Call Slides furnished as Exhibit 99.2 that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are only estimates or predictions based on our management's beliefs and assumptions and on information currently available to our management. Forward-looking statements include our statements regarding future airline operations, revenue, expenses and earnings, available seat mile growth, expected capital expenditures, the cost of fuel, the timing of aircraft acquisitions and retirements, the number of contracted aircraft to be placed in service in the future, our ability to consummate announced aircraft transactions, as well as other information concerning future results of operations, business strategies, financing plans, competitive position, industry environment, and potential growth opportunities. Forward-looking statements include all statements that are not historical facts and can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as the words "believe," "expect," “guidance,” "anticipate," "intend," "plan," "estimate," “project”, “hope” or similar expressions.

Forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Important risk factors that could cause our results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements generally m

About Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Earnings

This page provides Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ALGT's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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