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AI Earnings Predictions for Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+8.52%

$1.43

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+12.33%

$1.48

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+7.97%

$1.43

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $1.32 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 26, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+8.52%

$1.43

5D

+12.33%

$1.48

20D

+7.97%

$1.43

Price: $1.32 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001517022-26-000019

akba-202602260001517022FALSE00015170222026-02-262026-02-26

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 26, 2026


AKEBIA THERAPEUTICS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware 001-36352 20-8756903 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

245 First Street Cambridge, Massachusetts 02142 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (617) 871-2098 N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.00001 per share AKBA The Nasdaq Capital Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 26, 2026, Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025 and recent business highlights related to the commercial launch of Vafseo® (vadadustat) as well as its pipeline. A copy of the Company’s press release containing this information is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K (“Report”) and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Report (including Item 2.02 and Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit No. Description

99.1 Press Release, dated February 26 2026, issued by Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.

104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

AKEBIA THERAPEUTICS, INC.

Date: February 26, 2026 By: /s/ John P. Butler Name: John P. Butler Title: President and Chief Executive Officer

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+8.52%

$1.43

5D

+12.33%

$1.48

20D

+7.97%

$1.43

Price: $1.32 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001517022-26-000003

akba-202601120001517022FALSE00015170222026-01-122026-01-12

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 12, 2026


AKEBIA THERAPEUTICS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware 001-36352 20-8756903 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

245 First Street Cambridge, Massachusetts 02142 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (617) 871-2098 N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.00001 per share AKBA The Nasdaq Capital Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 12, 2026, Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing key corporate updates associated with its Vafseo® (vadadustat) commercial business and providing an outlook on upcoming milestones, including for its next anticipated growth driver, the Company’s mid-stage rare kidney disease pipeline. The Company also provided an overview of expected fourth quarter 2025 Vafseo net product revenue. A copy of the Company’s press release containing this information is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K (“Report”) and is incorporated herein by reference.

Item 7.01.    Regulation FD Disclosure.

Spokespersons of the Company plan to present the information in the corporate presentation attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 (the “Presentation”) at various meetings beginning on January 12, 2025, including investor and analyst meetings that coincide with the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference.

A copy of the Presentation is attached as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K (including Items 2.02 and 7.01, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act, of 1933, as amended except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

By providing the information in Item 7.01 of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 hereto, the Company is not making an admission as to the materiality of any information herein. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K is intended to be considered in the context of more complete information included in the Company’s filings with the SEC and other public announcements that the Company has made and may make from time to time by press release or otherwise. The Company undertakes no duty or obligation to update or revise the information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, although it may do so from time to time as its management believes is appropriate. Any such updating may be made through the filing of other reports or documents with the SEC, through press releases or through other public disclosures.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit No. Description

99.1 Press Release, dated January 12, 2026, issued by Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.

99.2Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. Corporate Presentation January 2026

104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBR

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 10, 2025

0001517022-25-000045

akba-202511100001517022FALSE00015170222025-11-102025-11-10

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 10, 2025


AKEBIA THERAPEUTICS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware 001-36352 20-8756903 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

245 First Street Cambridge, Massachusetts 02142 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (617) 871-2098 N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.00001 per share AKBA The Nasdaq Capital Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 10, 2025, Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025 and recent business highlights. A copy of the Company’s press release containing this information is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K (“Report”) and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Report (including Item 2.02 and Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit No. Description

99.1 Press Release, dated November 10, 2025, issued by Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.

104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

AKEBIA THERAPEUTICS, INC.

Date: November 10, 2025 By: /s/ John P. Butler Name: John P. Butler Title: President and Chief Executive Officer

About Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) Earnings

This page provides Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on AKBA's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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