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AI Earnings Predictions for Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.58%

$88.21

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.05%

$88.61

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+2.34%

$88.01

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $86.00 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 27, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.58%

$88.21

Act: +1.69%

5D

+3.05%

$88.61

Act: -0.46%

20D

+2.34%

$88.01

Price: $86.00 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001273813-26-000013

ago-202602270001273813false00012738132026-02-272026-02-270001273813us-gaap:CommonStockMemberexch:XNYS2026-02-272026-02-270001273813ago:AssuredGuarantyUSHoldingsInc6125SeniorNotesDue2028Memberexch:XNYS2026-02-272026-02-270001273813ago:AssuredGuarantyUSHoldingsInc3150SeniorNotesDue2031Memberexch:XNYS2026-02-272026-02-270001273813ago:AssuredGuarantyUSHoldingsInc3600SeniorNotesDue2051Memberexch:XNYS2026-02-272026-02-27

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)—February 27, 2026

ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Bermuda001-3214198-0429991 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

30 Woodbourne Avenue Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda (Address of principal executive offices) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (441) 279-5700 Not applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:Trading Symbol(s)Name of exchange on which registered Common Shares$0.01 par value per shareAGONew York Stock Exchange Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 6.125% Senior Notes due 2028 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)AGO/28New York Stock Exchange Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.150% Senior Notes due 2031 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)AGO/31New York Stock Exchange Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.600% Senior Notes due 2051 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)AGO/51New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On February 27, 2026, Assured Guaranty Ltd. made available in the Investor Information section of its website the December 31, 2025 Combined Financial Statements of its subsidiary Assured Guaranty Inc. The December 31, 2025 Combined Financial Statements of Assured Guaranty Inc. are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.

Item 7.01Regulation FD Disclosure

On February 27, 2026, Assured Guaranty Ltd. made available in the Investor Information section of its website the following materials, which can be obtained from such website at the links provided below:

•the Assured Guaranty Inc. December 31, 2025 Financial Supplement (https://assuredguaranty.com/investor-information/by-company/agc)

•the Fixed Income Investor Presentation for the period ended December 31, 2025 (https://assuredguaranty.com/investor-information/by-company/assured-guaranty-ltd/presentations-webcasts)

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits The Assured Guaranty Inc. December 31, 2025 Combined Financial Statements, which are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, are being furnished under Item 2.02.

Exhibit NumberDescription 99.1Assured Guaranty Inc. December 31, 2025 Combined Financial Statements (furnished)

104.1Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

By: /s/ BENJAMIN G. ROSENBLUM

Name: Benjamin G. Rosenblum Title: Chief Financial Officer

DATE: February 27, 2026

3

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 26, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.58%

$88.21

Act: +1.69%

5D

+3.05%

$88.61

Act: -0.46%

20D

+2.34%

$88.01

Price: $86.00 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001273813-26-000009

ago-202602260001273813false00012738132026-02-262026-02-260001273813us-gaap:CommonStockMemberexch:XNYS2026-02-262026-02-260001273813ago:AssuredGuarantyUSHoldingsInc6125SeniorNotesDue2028Memberexch:XNYS2026-02-262026-02-260001273813ago:AssuredGuarantyUSHoldingsInc3150SeniorNotesDue2031Memberexch:XNYS2026-02-262026-02-260001273813ago:AssuredGuarantyUSHoldingsInc3600SeniorNotesDue2051Memberexch:XNYS2026-02-262026-02-26

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)—February 26, 2026

ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Bermuda001-3214198-0429991 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

30 Woodbourne Avenue Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda (Address of principal executive offices) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (441) 279-5700 Not applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:Trading Symbol(s)Name of exchange on which registered Common Shares$0.01 par value per shareAGONew York Stock Exchange Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 6.125% Senior Notes due 2028 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)AGO/28New York Stock Exchange Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.150% Senior Notes due 2031 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)AGO/31New York Stock Exchange Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.600% Senior Notes due 2051 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)AGO/51New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 26, 2026, Assured Guaranty Ltd. issued a press release reporting its results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025 and the availability of its December 31, 2025 financial supplement. The press release and the financial supplement are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, and are incorporated by reference herein.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits

Exhibit NumberDescription 99.1Assured Guaranty Ltd. Press Release dated February 26, 2026 reporting its results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025

99.2December 31, 2025 Financial Supplement of Assured Guaranty Ltd.

104.1Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

By: /s/ BENJAMIN G. ROSENBLUM

Name: Benjamin G. Rosenblum Title: Chief Financial Officer

DATE: February 26, 2026

3

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 6, 2025

0001273813-25-000050

ago-202511060001273813false00012738132025-11-062025-11-060001273813us-gaap:CommonStockMemberexch:XNYS2025-11-062025-11-060001273813ago:AssuredGuarantyUSHoldingsInc6125SeniorNotesDue2028Memberexch:XNYS2025-11-062025-11-060001273813ago:AssuredGuarantyUSHoldingsInc3150SeniorNotesDue2031Memberexch:XNYS2025-11-062025-11-060001273813ago:AssuredGuarantyUSHoldingsInc3600SeniorNotesDue2051Memberexch:XNYS2025-11-062025-11-06

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)—November 6, 2025

ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Bermuda001-3214198-0429991 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

30 Woodbourne Avenue Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda (Address of principal executive offices) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (441) 279-5700 Not applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:Trading Symbol(s)Name of exchange on which registered Common Shares$0.01 par value per shareAGONew York Stock Exchange Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 6.125% Senior Notes due 2028 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)AGO/28New York Stock Exchange Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.150% Senior Notes due 2031 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)AGO/31New York Stock Exchange Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. 3.600% Senior Notes due 2051 (and the related guarantee of Registrant)AGO/51New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 6, 2025, Assured Guaranty Ltd. issued a press release reporting its third quarter 2025 results and the availability of its September 30, 2025 financial supplement. The press release and the financial supplement are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, and are incorporated by reference herein.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits

Exhibit NumberDescription

99.1Assured Guaranty Ltd. Press Release dated November 6, 2025 reporting third quarter 2025 results

99.2September 30, 2025 Financial Supplement of Assured Guaranty Ltd.

104.1Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

By: /s/ BENJAMIN G. ROSENBLUM

Name: Benjamin G. Rosenblum Title: Chief Financial Officer

DATE: November 6, 2025

3

About Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) Earnings

This page provides Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on AGO's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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